Football · Argentina Torneo A · 18/10, 23:30
Prediction: CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano
Team pages: CA Sarmiento de la Banda · Sportivo Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
CA Sarmiento de la Banda1.4
Sportivo Belgrano0.83
1X2
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Draw
Sportivo Belgrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Belgrano
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
1–2–1
Sportivo Belgrano
(4 last)
- Sportivo Belgrano1-1CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda3-0Sportivo Belgrano
- Sportivo Belgrano4-1CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda0-0Sportivo Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1446 · Sportivo Belgrano 1440
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Draw | Sportivo Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Sportivo Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1–2–1 Sportivo Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 23/08/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
| 07/09/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo Belgrano | 4-1 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 31/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America de Formosa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | CA Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | CA Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 5 |
| 8 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Sportivo Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| San Martin Formosa | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Douglas Haig | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Sol de America de Formosa | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Bartolome Mitre | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Belgrano (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Sportivo Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (49%). Probabilities: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 49%, draw 30%, Sportivo Belgrano 21%.
How many goals are expected in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
The model expects 2.23 goals (CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1.4 · Sportivo Belgrano 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo Belgrano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.