Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 21/10, 19:00

Prediction: FC Kreuzlingen vs FC Bulle

Team pages: FC Kreuzlingen · FC Bulle

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

FC Kreuzlingen1.6

FC Bulle1.5

1X2

40% 24% 36%

FC Kreuzlingen Draw FC Bulle

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kreuzlingen 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLDDWW

FC Bulle 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWLWD

Head-to-head

FC Kreuzlingen 1–1–0 FC Bulle (2 last)

FC Kreuzlingen1-1FC Bulle
FC Bulle1-2FC Kreuzlingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kreuzlingen 1491 · FC Bulle 1521

	FC Kreuzlingen	Draw	FC Bulle
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	41%	23%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kreuzlingen	FC Bulle
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7	2.3 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.90

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.30
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.30 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.64 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:00 +6’	2.38	3.90	2.30
00:48 +15’	2.30▼	3.90	2.30
13:53 +11’	2.20▼	3.90	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +13’	2.42	3.70	2.45
08:22 +40’	2.44▲	3.72▲	2.42▼
13:48 +15’	2.27▼	3.72	2.61▲
17:00 +1’	2.30▲	3.79▲	2.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kreuzlingen 1–1–0 FC Bulle

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Kreuzlingen	1-1	FC Bulle
11/10/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Bulle	1-2	FC Kreuzlingen

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	11	8	2	1	25	12	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	29	13	25
3	SC Cham	11	7	1	3	19	14	22
4	FC Bulle	11	6	3	2	24	16	21
5	FC Paradiso	12	6	3	3	24	13	21
6	Basel II	12	6	1	5	24	22	19
7	YF Juventus	12	6	1	5	17	16	19
8	FC Grand-Saconnex	12	6	0	6	20	17	18
9	FC Zurich II	12	5	3	4	22	21	18
10	Breitenrain	12	5	3	4	18	17	18
11	FC Amical Saint-Prex	12	5	1	6	16	25	16
12	FC Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
13	SC Bruhl	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
14	Lugano II	12	4	0	8	19	26	12
15	Young Boys II	12	3	3	6	23	32	12
16	Bavois	12	2	2	8	11	17	8
17	Lucerne II	11	2	1	8	15	27	7
18	AC Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	7	24	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kreuzlingen	FC Bulle
Breitenrain	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Paradiso	1-1 D	2-2 D
SC Cham	1-2 L	4-2 W
FC Schaffhausen	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Bulle (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kreuzlingen

LLDWLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
30/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/09	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	1-2	7	2	L
08/08	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L

FC Bulle

DWWDLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	4-2	1	7	W
26/09	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-1	8	9	L
19/09	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-1	3	8	W
10/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
05/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kreuzlingen vs FC Bulle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kreuzlingen win (40%). Probabilities: FC Kreuzlingen 40%, draw 24%, FC Bulle 36%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kreuzlingen vs FC Bulle?

The model expects 3.1 goals (FC Kreuzlingen 1.6 · FC Bulle 1.5), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kreuzlingen vs FC Bulle?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.