Football · Tunisia League 2 · 11/10, 15:30

Prediction: OC Kerkennah vs AS Agareb

Team pages: OC Kerkennah

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
OC Kerkennah1.38
AS Agareb0.97
1X2
45% 30% 25%
OC Kerkennah Draw AS Agareb
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
OC Kerkennah 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDWWDWLL
AS Agareb 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWWDWLDL
Head-to-head
OC Kerkennah 3–1 AS Agareb (4 last)
  • AS Agareb1-0OC Kerkennah
  • OC Kerkennah3-1AS Agareb
  • AS Agareb0-3OC Kerkennah
  • OC Kerkennah3-1AS Agareb
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OC Kerkennah 1523 · AS Agareb 1477
OC KerkennahDrawAS Agareb
Our model45%30%25%
Market45%30%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OC Kerkennah (rating 1523 vs 1477).
  • H2H favours OC Kerkennah: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OC KerkennahAS Agareb
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.90.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.50.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.81.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.35 / 1.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · OC Kerkennah 3–0–1 AS Agareb

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Tunisia League 2
AS Agareb1-0OC Kerkennah
25/10/25
Tunisia League 2
OC Kerkennah3-1
HT 2-1
AS Agareb
15/03/25
Tunisia League 2
AS Agareb0-3OC Kerkennah
24/11/24
Tunisia League 2
OC Kerkennah3-1AS Agareb

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 EM Mahdia 2200 426
2 AS Megrine 2110 324
3 CS Msaken 2110 214
3 Sfax Railways 2110 214
5 AS Soliman 1100 413
6 SC Ben Arous 2101 423
7 BS Bouhajla 1100 213
8 Tataouine 2101 243
9 Stade Soussienf 2011 231
10 AS Agareb 2011 251
11 ES Beni-Khalled 2011 231
12 AS Gabes 2011 121
12 CS Chebba 2011 121
14 OC Kerkennah 2002 240

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOC KerkennahAS Agareb
EM Mahdia 1-2 L 0-0 D
CS Msaken 1-2 L 1-0 W
CS Hammam Lif 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: AS Agareb (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OC Kerkennah

LWDDWWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 EM Mahdia
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
26/09 CS Msaken
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-2 63 L
11/05 EM Mahdia
Tunisia League 2
– 3-1 –– W
01/05 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
27/04 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 2
– 2-1 –– W
18/04 SA Menzel Bourguiba
Tunisia League 2
– 4-0 –– W
13/04 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 33 D
04/04 AS Megrine
Tunisia League 2
0-1 1-1 57 D
29/03 CS Chebba
Tunisia League 2
0-1 2-1 56 W
28/02 AS Agareb
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L

AS Agareb

WLDWWDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 SC Ben Arous
Tunisia League 2
– 0-3 –– L
26/09 Stade Soussienf
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D
11/05 Sfax Railways
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
01/05 CS Msaken
Tunisia League 2
– 1-0 –– W
27/04 US Bousalem
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 37 D
21/04 BS Bouhajla
Tunisia League 2
– 1-0 –– W
13/04 SC Ben Arous
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 38 W
05/04 EM Mahdia
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
29/03 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 2
0-1 0-1 34 L
28/02 OC Kerkennah
Tunisia League 2
– 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OC Kerkennah vs AS Agareb?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OC Kerkennah win (45%). Probabilities: OC Kerkennah 45%, draw 30%, AS Agareb 25%.

How many goals are expected in OC Kerkennah vs AS Agareb?

The model expects 2.35 goals (OC Kerkennah 1.38 · AS Agareb 0.97), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in OC Kerkennah vs AS Agareb?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.