Football · Tunisia League 2 · 11/10, 15:30

Prediction: AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport

Team pages: AS Ariana

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
AS Ariana1.54
Kalaa Sport0.86
1X2
52% 29% 19%
AS Ariana Draw Kalaa Sport
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AS Ariana 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLWLDDDL
Kalaa Sport 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDWLWL
Head-to-head
AS Ariana 4–2 Kalaa Sport (6 last)
  • AS Ariana1-0Kalaa Sport
  • Kalaa Sport2-1AS Ariana
  • AS Ariana5-2Kalaa Sport
  • Kalaa Sport3-2AS Ariana
  • Kalaa Sport0-2AS Ariana
  • Kalaa Sport1-3AS Ariana
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Ariana 1495 · Kalaa Sport 1469
AS ArianaDrawKalaa Sport
Our model52%28%20%
Market51%30%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AS Ariana: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AS ArianaKalaa Sport
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.41 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 00.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 6.53.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 05 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Ariana 4–0–2 Kalaa Sport

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Tunisia League 2
AS Ariana1-0
HT 0-0
Kalaa Sport
21/09/25
Tunisia League 2
Kalaa Sport2-1
HT 0-1
AS Ariana
22/02/25
Tunisia League 2
AS Ariana5-2
HT 2-0
Kalaa Sport
02/11/24
Tunisia League 2
Kalaa Sport3-2
HT 1-2
AS Ariana
07/02/24
Tunisia League 2
Kalaa Sport0-2AS Ariana
27/01/24
Tunisia Cup
Kalaa Sport1-3
HT 1-0
AS Ariana

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CS Redeyef 1100 303
2 AS Kasserine 1100 213
2 Kalaa Sport 1100 213
4 ES Bouchamma 1100 103
4 JS Kairouanaise 1100 103
6 AS Ariana 1010 111
6 Stade Gabesien 1010 111
8 Olympique Du Kef 1010 001
8 US Ksour Essef 1010 001
10 Club Olympique Medenine 1001 120
10 EGS Gafsa 1001 120
12 CS Korba 1001 010
12 Jendouba Sport 1001 010
14 Moknine 1001 030

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAS ArianaKalaa Sport
Jendouba Sport 0-1 L 1-3 L
Stade Gabesien 1-1 D 0-2 L
CS Korba 0-1 L 2-1 W
US Ksour Essef 1-0 W 2-1 W
CS Redeyef 2-2 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AS Ariana (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Ariana

DWDLWLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Stade Gabesien
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 74 D
12/05 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
02/05 EGS Gafsa
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-1 63 D
28/04 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 0-5 –– L
19/04 EO Sidi Bouzid
Tunisia League 2
0-0 3-0 57 W
11/04 CS Korba
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
04/04 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D
29/03 US Ksour Essef
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 84 W
27/02 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
– 2-2 –– D

Kalaa Sport

WLLWLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
27/09 Club Olympique Medenine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-1 33 W
12/05 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
1-2 1-3 33 L
02/05 US Ksour Essef
Tunisia League 2
– 2-1 –– W
28/04 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-1 2-2 147 D
22/04 Stade Gabesien
Tunisia League 2
– 0-2 –– L
11/04 AS Djelma
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 58 W
04/04 Progres Sakiet Eddaier
Tunisia League 2
– 0-5 –– L
28/03 AS Kasserine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-4 –– L
27/02 CS Korba
Tunisia League 2
1-0 2-1 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Ariana win (52%). Probabilities: AS Ariana 52%, draw 29%, Kalaa Sport 19%.

How many goals are expected in AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport?

The model expects 2.41 goals (AS Ariana 1.54 · Kalaa Sport 0.86), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Ariana vs Kalaa Sport?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.