Football · Argentina Torneo A · 25/10, 20:00
Prediction: CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Team pages: CA Sarmiento de la Banda · Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
CA Sarmiento de la Banda1.24
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas0.93
1X2
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Draw
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
1–2
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
(3 last)
- CA Sarmiento de la Banda0-1Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
- Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas1-0CA Sarmiento de la Banda
- Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas0-1CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1432 · Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 1505
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Draw | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas (rating 1432 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1–0–2 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas |
| 19/10/25 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
| 25/08/24 Argentina Torneo A | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | CDA Monte Maiz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Club Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/08 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (42%). Probabilities: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 42%, draw 31%, Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 27%.
How many goals are expected in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas?
The model expects 2.17 goals (CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1.24 · Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 0.93), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.