Football · Argentina Torneo A · 24/10, 20:45

Prediction: CDA Monte Maiz vs Kimberley Mar del Plata

Team pages: CDA Monte Maiz · Kimberley Mar del Plata

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.9Total

CDA Monte Maiz1.03

Kimberley Mar del Plata0.87

1X2

38% 33% 29%

CDA Monte Maiz Draw Kimberley Mar del Plata

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

CDA Monte Maiz 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWWWW

Kimberley Mar del Plata 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDDWW

Head-to-head

CDA Monte Maiz 1–2 Kimberley Mar del Plata (3 last)

Kimberley Mar del Plata1-0CDA Monte Maiz
Kimberley Mar del Plata1-2CDA Monte Maiz
Kimberley Mar del Plata2-1CDA Monte Maiz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CDA Monte Maiz 1534 · Kimberley Mar del Plata 1529

	CDA Monte Maiz	Draw	Kimberley Mar del Plata
Our model	37%	34%	29%
Market	38%	32%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kimberley Mar del Plata: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CDA Monte Maiz	Kimberley Mar del Plata
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	4.5 / 8.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.51 ★
X	2.90 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
2	3.90 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.03

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +4’	1.95	2.90	3.90
03:33 +18’	2.10▲	2.88▼	3.50▼
12:02 +5’	2.35▲	2.80▼	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:36 +3’	2.51	2.52	3.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CDA Monte Maiz 1–0–2 Kimberley Mar del Plata

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Argentina Torneo A	Kimberley Mar del Plata	1-0 HT 1-0	CDA Monte Maiz
09/08/25 Argentina Torneo A	Kimberley Mar del Plata	1-2 HT 0-0	CDA Monte Maiz
08/09/24 Argentina Torneo A	Kimberley Mar del Plata	2-1 HT 1-1	CDA Monte Maiz

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Alvarado	8	4	3	1	10	5	15
2	Cipolletti	8	4	3	1	10	7	15
3	Olimpo B Blanca	8	3	4	1	7	4	13
4	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	8	4	1	3	12	10	13
5	Kimberley Mar del Plata	8	3	2	3	8	6	11
6	CDA Monte Maiz	8	3	2	3	7	7	11
7	Club Villa Mitre	8	2	4	2	5	4	10
8	Huracan Las Heras	8	2	1	5	3	8	7
9	Juventud Antoniana	8	0	2	6	1	12	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CDA Monte Maiz	Kimberley Mar del Plata
Club Villa Mitre	1-0 W	0-0 D
Huracan Las Heras	2-1 W	0-0 D
Juventud Antoniana	1-0 W	3-0 W
CA Alvarado	1-1 D	0-2 L
Olimpo B Blanca	1-1 D	0-1 L
Cipolletti	0-1 L	3-1 W
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CDA Monte Maiz (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CDA Monte Maiz

LLLDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
13/09	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
30/08	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
23/08	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
16/08	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
12/08	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
08/08	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
03/08	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	5	0	L

Kimberley Mar del Plata

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
10/10	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
13/09	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/09	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
30/08	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-2	12	7	L
23/08	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
16/08	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	3-1	13	7	W
13/08	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
03/08	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CDA Monte Maiz vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CDA Monte Maiz win (38%). Probabilities: CDA Monte Maiz 38%, draw 33%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 29%.

How many goals are expected in CDA Monte Maiz vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

The model expects 1.9 goals (CDA Monte Maiz 1.03 · Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CDA Monte Maiz vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.