Football · Argentina Torneo A · 17/10, 20:00
Prediction: Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon
Team pages: Kimberley Mar del Plata · Deportivo Rincon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
Kimberley Mar del Plata1.63
Deportivo Rincon0.32
1X2
Kimberley Mar del Plata
Draw
Deportivo Rincon
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
1-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
Kimberley Mar del Plata
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Rincon
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–2–2
Deportivo Rincon
(6 last)
- Deportivo Rincon0-1Kimberley Mar del Plata
- Deportivo Rincon3-1Kimberley Mar del Plata
- Deportivo Rincon2-2Kimberley Mar del Plata
- Kimberley Mar del Plata0-1Deportivo Rincon
- Kimberley Mar del Plata2-0Deportivo Rincon
- Deportivo Rincon0-0Kimberley Mar del Plata
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kimberley Mar del Plata 1519 · Deportivo Rincon 1510
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | Draw | Deportivo Rincon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 24% | 6% |
| Market | 71% | 22% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kimberley Mar del Plata | Deportivo Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 8.1 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kimberley Mar del Plata 2–2–2 Deportivo Rincon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/26 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
| 24/08/25 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
| 24/05/25 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
| 22/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rincon |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Torneo A | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Rincon |
| 30/03/24 Argentina Torneo A | Deportivo Rincon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin de Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | FADEP Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida Universitario | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal de Rawson | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina Tandil | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kimberley Mar del Plata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 13/08 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/08 | Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kimberley Mar del Plata win (70%). Probabilities: Kimberley Mar del Plata 70%, draw 23%, Deportivo Rincon 7%.
How many goals are expected in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Kimberley Mar del Plata 1.63 · Deportivo Rincon 0.32), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Deportivo Rincon?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.