Football · Chile Tercera · 03/10, 17:00

Prediction: Chimbarongo FC vs Malleco Unido

Team pages: Chimbarongo FC · Malleco Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Chimbarongo FC1.15
Malleco Unido1.47
1X2
29% 27% 44%
Chimbarongo FC Draw Malleco Unido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chimbarongo FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLLWWW
Malleco Unido 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWDLWL
Head-to-head
Chimbarongo FC 1–1 Malleco Unido (2 last)
  • Malleco Unido1-0Chimbarongo FC
  • Chimbarongo FC3-1Malleco Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chimbarongo FC 1490 · Malleco Unido 1545
Chimbarongo FCDrawMalleco Unido
Our model28%28%43%
Market30%26%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malleco Unido (rating 1490 vs 1545).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chimbarongo FCMalleco Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 11.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.31.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.56.1 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chimbarongo FC 1–0–1 Malleco Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/08/25
Chile Tercera
Malleco Unido1-0
HT 1-0
Chimbarongo FC
17/05/25
Chile Tercera
Chimbarongo FC3-1
HT 2-0
Malleco Unido

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChimbarongo FCMalleco Unido
Rodelindo Roman 5-1 W 2-1 W
Puente Alto 3-1 W 2-1 W
Lautaro de Buin 0-1 L 0-1 L
Club Aguara 0-1 L 1-0 W
CD Constitucion Unido 0-1 L 0-5 L
Naval Talcahuano 0-1 L 1-1 D
Futuro FC 0-0 D 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chimbarongo FC

DLDLLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-1 36 W
12/09 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-0 5-1 65 W
05/09 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-1 44 W
23/08 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 –– L
15/08 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 56 L
02/08 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 13 L
26/07 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
– 0-1 –– L
11/07 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 55 D
04/07 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
0-1 0-1 46 L
28/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-0 63 D

Malleco Unido

DWWDWWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-5 0-5 49 L
29/08 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
0-1 2-1 79 W
15/08 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 610 L
05/08 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 45 D
25/07 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
– 1-0 –– W
12/07 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
1-0 2-1 35 W
27/06 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 66 D
14/06 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 23 W
03/05 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 38 W
24/04 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-1 76 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chimbarongo FC vs Malleco Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malleco Unido win (44%). Probabilities: Chimbarongo FC 29%, draw 27%, Malleco Unido 44%.

How many goals are expected in Chimbarongo FC vs Malleco Unido?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Chimbarongo FC 1.15 · Malleco Unido 1.47), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chimbarongo FC vs Malleco Unido?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.