Football · Chile Tercera · 03/10, 00:00

Prediction: Puente Alto vs Quintero Unido

Team pages: Puente Alto · Quintero Unido

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Puente Alto1.29
Quintero Unido1.94
1X2
24% 25% 51%
Puente Alto Draw Quintero Unido
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Puente Alto 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWLWLW
Quintero Unido 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDWDWD
Head-to-head
Puente Alto 0–1 Quintero Unido (1 last)
  • Quintero Unido4-1Puente Alto
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puente Alto 1473 · Quintero Unido 1538
Puente AltoDrawQuintero Unido
Our model24%24%52%
Market24%25%51%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quintero Unido (rating 1473 vs 1538).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Puente AltoQuintero Unido
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 22 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 11.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/56/33%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.22.7 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.76.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puente Alto 0–0–1 Quintero Unido

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/06/26
Chile Tercera
Quintero Unido4-1
HT 2-1
Puente Alto

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuente AltoQuintero Unido
Atletico Oriente 1-0 W 3-0 W
Chimbarongo FC 1-3 L 1-2 L
Club Aguara 4-3 W 1-1 D
Deportes Rancagua 1-5 L 1-1 D
Naval Talcahuano 1-3 L 1-0 W
CD Imperial Unido 1-0 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Quintero Unido (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puente Alto

DWLLLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
1-0 1-0 86 W
05/09 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-2 1-3 74 L
22/08 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
1-1 4-3 47 W
15/08 CD Constitucion Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-2 28 L
09/08 Futuro FC
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 45 W
01/08 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
0-4 1-5 64 L
25/07 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
– 1-3 –– L
12/07 Malleco Unido
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 55 L
05/07 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 74 W
27/06 Rodelindo Roman
Chile Tercera
1-1 2-2 49 D

Quintero Unido

WWLLWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 79 D
15/08 CD Imperial Unido
Chile Tercera
2-0 4-2 44 W
05/07 Club Aguara
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-1 85 D
21/06 Puente Alto
Chile Tercera
2-1 4-1 10 W
13/06 Deportes Rancagua
Chile Tercera
1-1 1-1 39 D
06/06 Naval Talcahuano
Chile Tercera
0-0 1-0 76 W
30/05 Chimbarongo FC
Chile Tercera
0-1 1-2 613 L
25/04 Lautaro de Buin
Chile Tercera
0-0 0-1 510 L
19/04 Atletico Oriente
Chile Tercera
2-0 3-0 127 W
12/04 Comunal Cabrero
Chile Tercera
4-1 4-1 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puente Alto vs Quintero Unido?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Quintero Unido win (51%). Probabilities: Puente Alto 24%, draw 25%, Quintero Unido 51%.

How many goals are expected in Puente Alto vs Quintero Unido?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Puente Alto 1.29 · Quintero Unido 1.94), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Puente Alto vs Quintero Unido?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.