Football · Ethiopia Premier League · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Wolaita Dicha vs Fasil Kenema

Team pages: Wolaita Dicha · Fasil Kenema

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.71Total

Wolaita Dicha0.96

Fasil Kenema0.75

1X2

38% 35% 27%

Wolaita Dicha Draw Fasil Kenema

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

Wolaita Dicha 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDDWLWD

Fasil Kenema 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Wolaita Dicha 2–3–1 Fasil Kenema (6 last)

Wolaita Dicha0-1Fasil Kenema
Fasil Kenema1-1Wolaita Dicha
Fasil Kenema0-3Wolaita Dicha
Wolaita Dicha1-1Fasil Kenema
Wolaita Dicha0-0Fasil Kenema
Fasil Kenema0-2Wolaita Dicha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wolaita Dicha 1528 · Fasil Kenema 1502

	Wolaita Dicha	Draw	Fasil Kenema
Our model	38%	36%	26%
Market	39%	34%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wolaita Dicha: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wolaita Dicha	Fasil Kenema
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.63

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.98

Under 1.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:02 +12’	2.30	2.63	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolaita Dicha 2–3–1 Fasil Kenema

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 Ethiopia Premier League	Wolaita Dicha	0-1 HT 0-1	Fasil Kenema
30/11/25 Ethiopia Premier League	Fasil Kenema	1-1 HT 1-0	Wolaita Dicha
04/06/25 Ethiopia Premier League	Fasil Kenema	0-3 HT 0-1	Wolaita Dicha
26/11/24 Ethiopia Premier League	Wolaita Dicha	1-1 HT 1-0	Fasil Kenema
29/06/24 Ethiopia Premier League	Wolaita Dicha	0-0 HT 0-0	Fasil Kenema
07/12/23 Ethiopia Premier League	Fasil Kenema	0-2 HT 0-2	Wolaita Dicha

Standings · Ethiopia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bahir Dar Kenema FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mechal SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ethio Electric FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ethiopian Coffee	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ethiopian Insurance FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gamo Chencha	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hadiya Hossana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Halaba City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hawassa City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Negelle Arsi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kedus Giorgis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shaggar City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sidama Bunna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wolaita Dicha	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wolaita Dicha	Fasil Kenema
Ethiopian Coffee	0-0 D	1-2 L
Adama City	2-0 W	3-1 W
Ethio Electric FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Bahir Dar Kenema FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Negelle Arsi	0-0 D	0-0 D
Ethiopian Insurance FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Kedus Giorgis	0-0 D	0-1 L
Arba Minch	3-2 W	2-0 W
Hadiya Hossana	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shaggar City	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Wolaita Dicha (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wolaita Dicha

DWWDDDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
28/06	Adama City Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/06	Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
16/06	Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/06	Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/05	Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
14/05	Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
10/05	Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
04/05	Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
29/04	Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Fasil Kenema

DLLWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/07	Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/06	Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
22/06	Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
15/06	Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League	1-0	1-0	0	7	W
29/05	Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
20/05	Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
16/05	Adama City Ethiopia Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
10/05	Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	1-3	6	8	L
06/05	Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
30/04	Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wolaita Dicha vs Fasil Kenema?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolaita Dicha win (38%). Probabilities: Wolaita Dicha 38%, draw 35%, Fasil Kenema 27%.

How many goals are expected in Wolaita Dicha vs Fasil Kenema?

The model expects 1.71 goals (Wolaita Dicha 0.96 · Fasil Kenema 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wolaita Dicha vs Fasil Kenema?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.