Prediction: Ethiopian Coffee vs Shaggar City
Team pages: Ethiopian Coffee · Shaggar City
- Ethiopian Coffee1-1Shaggar City
- Shaggar City1-2Ethiopian Coffee
| Ethiopian Coffee | Draw | Shaggar City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 35% | 31% |
| Market | 36% | 32% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ethiopian Coffee | Shaggar City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ethiopian Coffee 1–1–0 Shaggar City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Ethiopian Coffee | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Shaggar City |
| 26/11/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Shaggar City | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Ethiopian Coffee |
Standings · Ethiopia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adama City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Halaba City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Negelle Arsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Kedus Giorgis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Fasil Kenema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Wolaita Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ethiopian Coffee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Ethiopian Insurance FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Gamo Chencha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Hadiya Hossana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Hawassa City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Shaggar City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sidama Bunna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Ethio Electric FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ethiopian Coffee | Shaggar City |
|---|---|---|
| Wolaita Dicha | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Sidama Bunna | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Hawassa City FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Fasil Kenema | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Shire Endaselassie FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Mechal SC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Dire Dawa | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Welwalo Adigrat | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 4 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shaggar City (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ethiopian Coffee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 05/05 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
Shaggar City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Shire Endaselassie FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Mechal SC Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Dire Dawa Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/06 | Welwalo Adigrat Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Fasil Kenema Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Sidama Bunna Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Hawassa City FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/04 | Wolaita Dicha Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ethiopian Coffee vs Shaggar City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ethiopian Coffee win (35%). Probabilities: Ethiopian Coffee 35%, draw 33%, Shaggar City 31%.
How many goals are expected in Ethiopian Coffee vs Shaggar City?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Ethiopian Coffee 0.98 · Shaggar City 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ethiopian Coffee vs Shaggar City?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.