Football · Tunisia League 1 · 10/10, 15:30
Prediction: Esperance de Tunis vs Olympique de Beja
Team pages: Esperance de Tunis · Olympique de Beja
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Esperance de Tunis2.22
Olympique de Beja0.44
1X2
Esperance de Tunis
Draw
Olympique de Beja
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Esperance de Tunis
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Olympique de Beja
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Esperance de Tunis
4–1–1
Olympique de Beja
(6 last)
- Olympique de Beja0-3Esperance de Tunis
- Esperance de Tunis2-0Olympique de Beja
- Olympique de Beja0-5Esperance de Tunis
- Esperance de Tunis1-1Olympique de Beja
- Esperance de Tunis2-0Olympique de Beja
- Esperance de Tunis0-1Olympique de Beja
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esperance de Tunis 1600 · Olympique de Beja 1476
| Esperance de Tunis | Draw | Olympique de Beja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 17% | 5% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Esperance de Tunis (rating 1600 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Esperance de Tunis: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Esperance de Tunis | Olympique de Beja | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.1 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Esperance de Tunis 4–1–1 Olympique de Beja
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Esperance de Tunis |
| 24/09/25 Tunisia League 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olympique de Beja |
| 11/05/25 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Esperance de Tunis |
| 22/01/25 Tunisia League 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Olympique de Beja |
| 07/06/23 Tunisia League 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olympique de Beja |
| 28/05/23 Tunisia Cup | Esperance de Tunis | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Olympique de Beja |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 | US Ben Guerdane | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | US Monastir | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bizertin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | JS Omrane | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Stade Tunisien | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | ES Zarzis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | ES Metlaoui | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympique de Beja | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| 14 | Avenir de La Marsa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | ES Hammam Sousse | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | CS Hammam Lif | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Esperance de Tunis | Olympique de Beja |
|---|---|---|
| JS Omrane | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| US Ben Guerdane | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Club Africain | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CS Sfaxien | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Bizertin | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| ES Zarzis | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esperance de Tunis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CS Hammam Lif Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
Olympique de Beja
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esperance de Tunis vs Olympique de Beja?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Esperance de Tunis win (78%). Probabilities: Esperance de Tunis 78%, draw 16%, Olympique de Beja 6%.
How many goals are expected in Esperance de Tunis vs Olympique de Beja?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Esperance de Tunis 2.22 · Olympique de Beja 0.44), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Esperance de Tunis vs Olympique de Beja?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.