Football · Tunisia League 1 · 10/10, 15:30
Prediction: US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain
Team pages: US Ben Guerdane · Club Africain
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.58Total
US Ben Guerdane0.53
Club Africain1.06
1X2
US Ben Guerdane
Draw
Club Africain
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
US Ben Guerdane
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Club Africain
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Ben Guerdane
0–2–4
Club Africain
(6 last)
- US Ben Guerdane0-1Club Africain
- Club Africain2-0US Ben Guerdane
- Club Africain0-0US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane1-1Club Africain
- Club Africain2-0US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane0-1Club Africain
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Ben Guerdane 1521 · Club Africain 1597
| US Ben Guerdane | Draw | Club Africain | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 36% | 47% |
| Market | 20% | 30% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.58 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Africain (rating 1521 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Club Africain: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.7 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Ben Guerdane 0–2–4 Club Africain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Africain |
| 28/09/25 Tunisia League 1 | Club Africain | 2-0 HT 1-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 26/01/25 Tunisia League 1 | Club Africain | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 21/04/24 Tunisia Cup | US Ben Guerdane | 1-1 | Club Africain |
| 29/10/23 Tunisia League 1 | Club Africain | 2-0 HT 2-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 19/08/23 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Club Africain |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | US Monastir | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Bizertin | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | JS Omrane | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Club Africain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | US Ben Guerdane | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | CS Sfaxien | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Avenir de La Marsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Stade Tunisien | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | ES Metlaoui | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Olympique de Beja | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | ES Hammam Sousse | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | CS Hammam Lif | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain |
|---|---|---|
| US Monastir | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Olympique de Beja | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Esperance de Tunis | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Stade Tunisien | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| AS Soliman | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| JS Kairouanaise | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| AS Gabes | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Africain (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Ben Guerdane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CS Hammam Lif Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Club Africain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Africain win (49%). Probabilities: US Ben Guerdane 19%, draw 33%, Club Africain 49%.
How many goals are expected in US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain?
The model expects 1.58 goals (US Ben Guerdane 0.53 · Club Africain 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.