Football · Tunisia League 1 · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: Bizertin vs US Monastir

Team pages: Bizertin · US Monastir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.68Total
Bizertin0.84
US Monastir0.84
1X2
33% 35% 33%
Bizertin Draw US Monastir
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 20%
Recent form · 10 last
Bizertin 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLLLWWDL
US Monastir 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLLWDWDW
Head-to-head
Bizertin 0–2–4 US Monastir (6 last)
  • Bizertin0-0US Monastir
  • US Monastir1-0Bizertin
  • US Monastir3-1Bizertin
  • Bizertin0-0US Monastir
  • US Monastir1-0Bizertin
  • Bizertin0-2US Monastir
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bizertin 1469 · US Monastir 1519
BizertinDrawUS Monastir
Our model32%37%32%
Market33%33%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.68 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Monastir (rating 1469 vs 1519).
  • H2H favours US Monastir: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BizertinUS Monastir
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.11.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.42.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.34.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bizertin 0–2–4 US Monastir

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Tunisia League 1
Bizertin0-0
HT 0-0
US Monastir
24/09/25
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir1-0
HT 0-0
Bizertin
19/01/25
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir3-1
HT 2-0
Bizertin
01/09/24
Tunisia League 1
Bizertin0-0
HT 0-0
US Monastir
05/11/23
Tunisia League 1
US Monastir1-0
HT 1-0
Bizertin
27/08/23
Tunisia League 1
Bizertin0-2
HT 0-1
US Monastir

Standings · Tunisia League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Africain 3300 309
2 Esperance de Tunis 4301 769
3 US Ben Guerdane 4220 758
4 US Monastir 4220 758
5 CS Sfaxien 4220 638
6 Progres Sakiet Eddaier 4220 418
7 JS Omrane 4211 547
8 Bizertin 4211 337
9 Stade Tunisien 3111 544
10 Etoile Sportive Sahel 3111 554
11 ES Zarzis 4103 353
12 ES Metlaoui 4103 243
13 Olympique de Beja 4022 352
14 Avenir de La Marsa 3012 131
15 ES Hammam Sousse 4013 151
16 CS Hammam Lif 4004 040

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBizertinUS Monastir
ES Zarzis 0-2 L 2-1 W
Stade Tunisien 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: US Monastir (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bizertin

DDLLLLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-2 55 L
05/09 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-1 137 D
30/08 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-0 65 W
23/08 Avenir de La Marsa
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 74 W
13/05 ES Zarzis
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-2 73 L
09/05 Etoile Sportive Sahel
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 75 L
04/05 Avenir de La Marsa
Tunisia League 1
1-2 1-2 116 L
30/04 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 11 L
26/04 Esperance de Tunis
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-1 44 D
11/04 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
1-1 1-1 36 D

US Monastir

DLWLLWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 ES Zarzis
Tunisia League 1
1-1 2-1 46 W
12/09 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
1-2 3-3 85 D
29/08 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
2-1 2-1 14 W
22/08 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
14/05 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
1-0 3-0 –– W
08/05 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-1 –– L
04/05 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 126 L
29/04 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 65 W
25/04 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-2 27 L
11/04 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 25 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bizertin vs US Monastir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Bizertin 33%, draw 35%, US Monastir 33%.

How many goals are expected in Bizertin vs US Monastir?

The model expects 1.68 goals (Bizertin 0.84 · US Monastir 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bizertin vs US Monastir?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.