Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 08/10, 18:45

Prediction: Hapoel Ashkelon vs Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh

Team pages: Hapoel Ashkelon · Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Hapoel Ashkelon2.41
Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh0.83
1X2
72% 17% 11%
Hapoel Ashkelon Draw Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Ashkelon 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLWWDW
Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLWDLL
Head-to-head
Hapoel Ashkelon 1–1–0 Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh (2 last)
  • Hapoel Ashkelon4-0Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
  • Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh1-1Hapoel Ashkelon
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Ashkelon 1564 · Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh 1471
Hapoel AshkelonDrawIhud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Our model72%18%10%
Market73%16%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Ashkelon (rating 1564 vs 1471).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hapoel AshkelonIhud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.51 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.30.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.61.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.44.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Ashkelon 1–1–0 Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/02/26
Israel Liga Bet South
Hapoel Ashkelon4-0
HT 4-0
Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
09/10/25
Israel Liga Bet South
Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh1-1
HT 0-1
Hapoel Ashkelon

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHapoel AshkelonIhud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Hapoel Segev Shalom 2-0 W 2-1 W
Sderot 0-1 L 0-5 L
Maccabi Beer Sheva 7-1 W 0-0 D
FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod 1-0 W 1-2 L
MS Shikun Hamizrah 1-2 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Ashkelon (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Ashkelon

LWWWWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/09 Hapoel Yeruham
Israel Liga Bet South
2-0 4-0 55 W
18/09 Maccabi Ironi Netivot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-1 1-1 511 D
27/02 Hapoel Yeruham
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 1-0 66 W
19/02 Hapoel Segev Shalom
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 2-0 34 W
12/02 Sderot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 0-1 27 L
05/02 Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Israel Liga Bet South
4-0 4-0 44 W
02/01 SC Ramla
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 2-0 84 W
22/12 Maccabi Beer Sheva
Israel Liga Bet South
5-0 7-1 111 W
11/12 FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 1-0 25 W
05/11 MS Shikun Hamizrah
Israel Liga Bet South
0-2 1-2 108 L

Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh

DWLWLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/09 FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod
Israel Liga Bet South
0-2 1-2 46 L
03/09 Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israel Liga Bet South
0-1 0-2 54 L
26/02 Maccabi Beer Sheva
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 0-0 54 D
19/02 FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 1-0 47 W
05/02 Hapoel Ashkelon
Israel Liga Bet South
0-4 0-4 74 L
29/01 MS Shikun Hamizrah
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 2-4 72 L
17/01 Hapoel Segev Shalom
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 2-1 47 W
08/01 Sderot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-1 0-5 31 L
25/12 Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 2-0 511 W
04/12 FC Arad
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 2-2 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Ashkelon vs Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Ashkelon win (72%). Probabilities: Hapoel Ashkelon 72%, draw 17%, Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh 11%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Ashkelon vs Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Hapoel Ashkelon 2.41 · Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Ashkelon vs Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.