Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 08/10, 19:00

Prediction: MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Yeruham

Team pages: MS Shikun Hamizrah · Hapoel Yeruham

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.98Total
MS Shikun Hamizrah2.85
Hapoel Yeruham1.13
1X2
72% 16% 12%
MS Shikun Hamizrah Draw Hapoel Yeruham
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MS Shikun Hamizrah 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWWLW
Hapoel Yeruham 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
MS Shikun Hamizrah 3–1–2 Hapoel Yeruham (6 last)
  • MS Shikun Hamizrah2-1Hapoel Yeruham
  • Hapoel Yeruham2-0MS Shikun Hamizrah
  • MS Shikun Hamizrah4-1Hapoel Yeruham
  • MS Shikun Hamizrah1-3Hapoel Yeruham
  • MS Shikun Hamizrah1-1Hapoel Yeruham
  • MS Shikun Hamizrah1-0Hapoel Yeruham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MS Shikun Hamizrah 1578 · Hapoel Yeruham 1395
MS Shikun HamizrahDrawHapoel Yeruham
Our model72%16%12%
Market72%17%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MS Shikun Hamizrah (rating 1578 vs 1395).
  • H2H favours MS Shikun Hamizrah: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MS Shikun HamizrahHapoel Yeruham
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 1.20.6 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.40.4 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 3.71.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.15 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · MS Shikun Hamizrah 3–1–2 Hapoel Yeruham

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/02/26
Israel Liga Bet South
MS Shikun Hamizrah2-1
HT 1-1
Hapoel Yeruham
27/10/25
Israel Liga Bet South
Hapoel Yeruham2-0
HT 1-0
MS Shikun Hamizrah
25/04/25
Israel Liga Bet South
MS Shikun Hamizrah4-1
HT 1-0
Hapoel Yeruham
31/10/22
Israel Liga Bet South
MS Shikun Hamizrah1-3
HT 0-2
Hapoel Yeruham
15/10/21
Israel Liga Bet South
MS Shikun Hamizrah1-1
HT 0-0
Hapoel Yeruham
11/12/20
Israel Liga Bet South
MS Shikun Hamizrah1-0
HT 0-0
Hapoel Yeruham

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMS Shikun HamizrahHapoel Yeruham
Ironi Beit Shemesh 1-3 L 0-4 L
Sderot 0-1 L 0-6 L
Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat 8-0 W 0-2 L
FC Arad 3-3 D 1-4 L
Maccabi Ironi Netivot 4-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MS Shikun Hamizrah (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MS Shikun Hamizrah

WWDWWLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/09 Hapoel Segev Shalom
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 3-0 48 W
26/02 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-3 45 L
20/02 Hapoel Yeruham
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 2-1 45 W
12/02 Hapoel Segev Shalom
Israel Liga Bet South
2-1 4-2 23 W
05/02 Sderot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 0-1 43 L
29/01 Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 4-2 42 W
23/01 Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat
Israel Liga Bet South
4-0 8-0 33 W
01/01 FC Arad
Israel Liga Bet South
2-0 3-3 45 D
25/12 SC Ramla
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 2-0 48 W
22/12 Maccabi Ironi Netivot
Israel Liga Bet South
2-0 4-0 44 W

Hapoel Yeruham

WLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/09 Hapoel Ashkelon
Israel Liga Bet South
0-2 0-4 25 L
27/02 Hapoel Ashkelon
Israel Liga Bet South
0-0 0-1 46 L
20/02 MS Shikun Hamizrah
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-2 15 L
13/02 Ironi Beit Shemesh
Israel Liga Bet South
0-3 0-4 51 L
30/01 Sderot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-3 0-6 04 L
15/01 Beitar Ironi Kiryat Gat
Israel Liga Bet South
0-2 0-2 33 L
25/12 FC Arad
Israel Liga Bet South
1-2 1-4 57 L
12/12 Maccabi Ironi Netivot
Israel Liga Bet South
0-3 0-3 63 L
29/11 FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod
Israel Liga Bet South
1-1 1-2 311 L
06/11 Maccabi Beer Yaakov
Israel Liga Bet South
1-0 3-1 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Yeruham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MS Shikun Hamizrah win (72%). Probabilities: MS Shikun Hamizrah 72%, draw 16%, Hapoel Yeruham 12%.

How many goals are expected in MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Yeruham?

The model expects 3.98 goals (MS Shikun Hamizrah 2.85 · Hapoel Yeruham 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Yeruham?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.