Football · India Super League · 30/10, 15:00

Prediction: Northeast United vs Bengaluru

Team pages: Northeast United · Bengaluru

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Northeast United1.43
Bengaluru1.39
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Northeast United Draw Bengaluru
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Northeast United 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWWWWD
Bengaluru 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWLDDDWWWW
Head-to-head
Northeast United 0–4–2 Bengaluru (6 last)
  • Bengaluru1-1Northeast United
  • Northeast United0-2Bengaluru
  • Bengaluru2-2Northeast United
  • Bengaluru1-1Northeast United
  • Northeast United1-1Bengaluru
  • Northeast United1-2Bengaluru
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Northeast United 1551 · Bengaluru 1565
Northeast UnitedDrawBengaluru
Our model37%28%35%
Market38%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Bengaluru: 2-4-0.
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Northeast UnitedBengaluru
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 6.63 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.13.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Northeast United 0–4–2 Bengaluru

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
India Super League
Bengaluru1-1
HT 1-0
Northeast United
21/02/25
India Super League
Northeast United0-2
HT 0-1
Bengaluru
08/11/24
India Super League
Bengaluru2-2
HT 1-2
Northeast United
24/12/23
India Super League
Bengaluru1-1
HT 0-0
Northeast United
26/11/23
India Super League
Northeast United1-1
HT 1-1
Bengaluru
06/01/23
India Super League
Northeast United1-2
HT 0-0
Bengaluru

Standings · India Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Northeast United 3210 517
2 Punjab FC 3210 647
3 East Bengal Club 2200 916
4 Bengaluru 2200 526
5 Mohun Bagan SG 3201 326
6 Kerala Blasters 3111 344
7 Churchill Brothers SC 3102 483
8 Mumbai City FC 3021 232
8 Odisha FC 3021 232
10 FC Goa 1010 111
11 Chennaiyin FC 3012 141
12 Inter Kashi FC 3012 281
13 Sporting Club Delhi 2002 350

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNortheast UnitedBengaluru
Odisha FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Kerala Blasters 4-1 W 1-2 L
Chennaiyin FC 4-1 W 2-0 W
Inter Kashi FC 3-2 W 3-1 W
FC Goa 0-2 L 2-0 W
Sporting Club Delhi 0-3 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bengaluru (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Northeast United

LDLLWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Odisha FC
India Super League
0-0 0-0 65 D
18/10 Kerala Blasters
India Super League
2-0 4-1 93 W
12/10 Mohun Bagan SG
India Super League
0-0 1-0 44 W
19/05 Mohammedan SC
India Super League
2-0 2-0 101 W
10/05 Chennaiyin FC
India Super League
2-0 4-1 67 W
02/05 Inter Kashi FC
India Super League
1-0 3-2 48 W
24/04 FC Goa
India Super League
0-1 0-2 68 L
19/04 Mohun Bagan SG
India Super League
0-1 0-1 63 L
15/04 Kerala Blasters
India Super League
0-1 1-1 116 D
10/04 Sporting Club Delhi
India Super League
0-0 0-3 41 L

Bengaluru

WWLDDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Chennaiyin FC
India Super League
1-0 2-0 34 W
10/10 Sporting Club Delhi
India Super League
1-2 3-2 73 W
16/05 Chennaiyin FC
India Super League
1-1 2-1 73 W
09/05 Jamshedpur FC
India Super League
1-0 1-0 44 W
04/05 Odisha FC
India Super League
0-1 1-1 94 D
25/04 Mumbai City FC
India Super League
0-0 0-0 71 D
16/04 East Bengal Club
India Super League
2-1 3-3 99 D
11/04 Kerala Blasters
India Super League
1-0 1-2 64 L
04/04 FC Goa
India Super League
1-0 2-0 33 W
22/03 Inter Kashi FC
India Super League
1-1 3-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northeast United vs Bengaluru?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Northeast United win (37%). Probabilities: Northeast United 37%, draw 27%, Bengaluru 36%.

How many goals are expected in Northeast United vs Bengaluru?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Northeast United 1.43 · Bengaluru 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Northeast United vs Bengaluru?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.