Football · India Super League · 06/11, 15:00
Prediction: FC Goa vs Bengaluru
Team pages: FC Goa · Bengaluru
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
FC Goa1.43
Bengaluru1.13
1X2
FC Goa
Draw
Bengaluru
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Goa
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Bengaluru
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Goa
3–1–2
Bengaluru
(6 last)
- FC Goa0-2Bengaluru
- FC Goa2-1Bengaluru
- Bengaluru2-0FC Goa
- Bengaluru2-2FC Goa
- FC Goa3-0Bengaluru
- FC Goa2-1Bengaluru
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Goa 1485 · Bengaluru 1553
| FC Goa | Draw | Bengaluru | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bengaluru (rating 1485 vs 1553).
- H2H favours FC Goa: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Goa | Bengaluru | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 3.7 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Goa 3–1–2 Bengaluru
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 India Super League | FC Goa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Bengaluru |
| 06/04/25 India Super League | FC Goa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Bengaluru |
| 02/04/25 India Super League | Bengaluru | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Goa |
| 14/12/24 India Super League | Bengaluru | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Goa |
| 02/11/24 India Super League | FC Goa | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Bengaluru |
| 14/03/24 India Super League | FC Goa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Bengaluru |
Standings · India Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan SG | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Northeast United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Bengaluru | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Punjab FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | East Bengal Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | FC Goa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Sporting Club Delhi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Churchill Brothers SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Odisha FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Mumbai City FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Chennaiyin FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Goa | Bengaluru |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Club Delhi | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Chennaiyin FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Kerala Blasters | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Jamshedpur FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Northeast United | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mumbai City FC | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Odisha FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Goa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/10 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Northeast United India Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Bengaluru India Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Bengaluru
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Northeast United India Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 16/04 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 11/04 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Goa India Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Goa vs Bengaluru?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Goa win (43%). Probabilities: FC Goa 43%, draw 28%, Bengaluru 29%.
How many goals are expected in FC Goa vs Bengaluru?
The model expects 2.56 goals (FC Goa 1.43 · Bengaluru 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Goa vs Bengaluru?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.