Football · India Super League · 05/11, 15:00
Prediction: Mohun Bagan SG vs Odisha FC
Team pages: Mohun Bagan SG · Odisha FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Mohun Bagan SG1.98
Odisha FC0.9
1X2
Mohun Bagan SG
Draw
Odisha FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Mohun Bagan SG
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Odisha FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mohun Bagan SG
3–2–1
Odisha FC
(6 last)
- Mohun Bagan SG5-1Odisha FC
- Mohun Bagan SG1-0Odisha FC
- Odisha FC1-1Mohun Bagan SG
- Mohun Bagan SG2-0Odisha FC
- Odisha FC2-1Mohun Bagan SG
- Odisha FC0-0Mohun Bagan SG
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohun Bagan SG (rating 1565 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Mohun Bagan SG: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mohun Bagan SG | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5.3 / 9.6 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mohun Bagan SG 3–2–1 Odisha FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 India Super League | Mohun Bagan SG | 5-1 HT 4-1 | Odisha FC |
| 23/02/25 India Super League | Mohun Bagan SG | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Odisha FC |
| 10/11/24 India Super League | Odisha FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Mohun Bagan SG |
| 28/04/24 India Super League | Mohun Bagan SG | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Odisha FC |
| 23/04/24 India Super League | Odisha FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Mohun Bagan SG |
| 24/02/24 India Super League | Odisha FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mohun Bagan SG |
Standings · India Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohun Bagan SG | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Northeast United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Bengaluru | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Punjab FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | East Bengal Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Churchill Brothers SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Goa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | Mumbai City FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | Odisha FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Chennaiyin FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Sporting Club Delhi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mohun Bagan SG | Odisha FC |
|---|---|---|
| Punjab FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sporting Club Delhi | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Northeast United | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| East Bengal Club | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Inter Kashi FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mohun Bagan SG (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohun Bagan SG
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Punjab FC India Super League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 26/10 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/10 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Northeast United India Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Goa India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Northeast United India Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Punjab FC India Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
Odisha FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Northeast United India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/10 | Punjab FC India Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Punjab FC India Super League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Bengaluru India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohun Bagan SG vs Odisha FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mohun Bagan SG win (61%). Probabilities: Mohun Bagan SG 61%, draw 23%, Odisha FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Mohun Bagan SG vs Odisha FC?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Mohun Bagan SG 1.98 · Odisha FC 0.9), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Mohun Bagan SG vs Odisha FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.