Football · India Super League · 12/10, 16:00

Prediction: Northeast United vs Mohun Bagan SG

Team pages: Northeast United · Mohun Bagan SG

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Northeast United1.09
Mohun Bagan SG1.48
1X2
27% 27% 46%
Northeast United Draw Mohun Bagan SG
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Northeast United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLLDLLWWW
Mohun Bagan SG 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
WDLDWWDDDW
Head-to-head
Northeast United 0–3–3 Mohun Bagan SG (6 last)
  • Mohun Bagan SG1-1Northeast United
  • Mohun Bagan SG0-0Northeast United
  • Northeast United0-1Mohun Bagan SG
  • Northeast United0-2Mohun Bagan SG
  • Mohun Bagan SG3-2Northeast United
  • Northeast United2-2Mohun Bagan SG
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Northeast United 1548 · Mohun Bagan SG 1571
Northeast UnitedDrawMohun Bagan SG
Our model27%28%45%
Market28%26%46%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Mohun Bagan SG: 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 16.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Northeast UnitedMohun Bagan SG
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.61.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 64.9 / 10.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.24 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Northeast United 0–3–3 Mohun Bagan SG

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/09/26
India IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan SG1-1
HT 0-0
Northeast United
20/08/26
India Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan SG0-0
HT 0-0
Northeast United
19/04/26
India Super League
Northeast United0-1
HT 0-1
Mohun Bagan SG
08/12/24
India Super League
Northeast United0-2
HT 0-0
Mohun Bagan SG
23/09/24
India Super League
Mohun Bagan SG3-2
HT 1-2
Northeast United
31/08/24
India Durand Cup
Northeast United2-2
HT 0-2
Mohun Bagan SG

Standings · India Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kerala Blasters 1100 203
2 Bengaluru 1100 323
3 Churchill Brothers SC 1100 213
4 Chennaiyin FC 1010 111
4 FC Goa 1010 111
6 East Bengal Club 0000 000
6 Mohun Bagan SG 0000 000
6 Northeast United 0000 000
6 Odisha FC 0000 000
6 Punjab FC 0000 000
11 Sporting Club Delhi 1001 230
12 Mumbai City FC 1001 120
13 Inter Kashi FC 1001 020

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNortheast UnitedMohun Bagan SG
Inter Kashi FC 3-2 W 0-0 D
FC Goa 0-2 L 1-1 D
Sporting Club Delhi 0-3 L 2-1 W
Odisha FC 1-4 L 5-1 W
Jamshedpur FC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Punjab FC 1-1 D 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Mohun Bagan SG (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Northeast United

DWLLDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/05 Mohammedan SC
India Super League
2-0 2-0 101 W
10/05 Chennaiyin FC
India Super League
2-0 4-1 67 W
02/05 Inter Kashi FC
India Super League
1-0 3-2 48 W
24/04 FC Goa
India Super League
0-1 0-2 68 L
19/04 Mohun Bagan SG
India Super League
0-1 0-1 63 L
15/04 Kerala Blasters
India Super League
0-1 1-1 116 D
10/04 Sporting Club Delhi
India Super League
0-0 0-3 41 L
20/03 Odisha FC
India Super League
1-2 1-4 66 L
15/03 Jamshedpur FC
India Super League
0-0 2-1 18 W
09/03 Punjab FC
India Super League
0-0 1-1 63 D

Mohun Bagan SG

WDLDWWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/05 Sporting Club Delhi
India Super League
0-0 2-1 175 W
17/05 East Bengal Club
India Super League
0-0 1-1 134 D
12/05 Inter Kashi FC
India Super League
0-0 0-0 94 D
09/05 FC Goa
India Super League
0-0 1-1 83 D
19/04 Northeast United
India Super League
1-0 1-0 133 W
12/04 Punjab FC
India Super League
1-1 3-2 97 W
04/04 Jamshedpur FC
India Super League
1-0 1-1 83 D
20/03 Mumbai City FC
India Super League
0-1 0-1 176 L
14/03 Bengaluru
India Super League
0-0 0-0 42 D
06/03 Odisha FC
India Super League
4-1 5-1 64 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Northeast United vs Mohun Bagan SG?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mohun Bagan SG win (46%). Probabilities: Northeast United 27%, draw 27%, Mohun Bagan SG 46%.

How many goals are expected in Northeast United vs Mohun Bagan SG?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Northeast United 1.09 · Mohun Bagan SG 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Northeast United vs Mohun Bagan SG?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.