Football · India Super League · 14/10, 16:00
Prediction: Punjab FC vs Odisha FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Punjab FC1.85
Odisha FC0.98
1X2
Punjab FC
Draw
Odisha FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Punjab FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Odisha FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Punjab FC
3–1–2
Odisha FC
(6 last)
- Odisha FC2-3Punjab FC
- Odisha FC0-3Punjab FC
- Odisha FC1-1Punjab FC
- Punjab FC2-1Odisha FC
- Odisha FC3-1Punjab FC
- Punjab FC0-1Odisha FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Punjab FC 1570 · Odisha FC 1474
| Punjab FC | Draw | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Punjab FC (rating 1570 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Punjab FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Punjab FC | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Punjab FC 3–1–2 Odisha FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 India Super League | Odisha FC | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Punjab FC |
| 21/04/25 India Super Cup | Odisha FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Punjab FC |
| 10/02/25 India Super League | Odisha FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Punjab FC |
| 20/09/24 India Super League | Punjab FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Odisha FC |
| 02/04/24 India Super League | Odisha FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Punjab FC |
| 26/12/23 India Super League | Punjab FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Odisha FC |
Standings · India Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kerala Blasters | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bengaluru | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Churchill Brothers SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Chennaiyin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | FC Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | East Bengal Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Mohun Bagan SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Northeast United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Odisha FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Punjab FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Sporting Club Delhi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Mumbai City FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Inter Kashi FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Punjab FC | Odisha FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mumbai City FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| East Bengal Club | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Sporting Club Delhi | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Mohammedan SC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Kerala Blasters | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Goa | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Punjab FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Punjab FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/04 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/03 | FC Goa India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Odisha FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Punjab FC India Super League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Bengaluru India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 17/04 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 10/04 | FC Goa India Super League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | Northeast United India Super League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Punjab FC vs Odisha FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Punjab FC win (57%). Probabilities: Punjab FC 57%, draw 24%, Odisha FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Punjab FC vs Odisha FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Punjab FC 1.85 · Odisha FC 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Punjab FC vs Odisha FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.