Football · India Super League · 19/10, 16:00
Prediction: Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC
Team pages: Punjab FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Punjab FC1.22
Mumbai City FC1.07
1X2
Punjab FC
Draw
Mumbai City FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Punjab FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Mumbai City FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Punjab FC
1–1–4
Mumbai City FC
(6 last)
- Punjab FC0-2Mumbai City FC
- Punjab FC1-1Mumbai City FC
- Mumbai City FC0-3Punjab FC
- Punjab FC2-3Mumbai City FC
- Mumbai City FC3-2Punjab FC
- Mumbai City FC2-1Punjab FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Punjab FC 1580 · Mumbai City FC 1539
| Punjab FC | Draw | Mumbai City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Punjab FC (rating 1580 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Mumbai City FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Punjab FC | Mumbai City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Punjab FC 1–1–4 Mumbai City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 India Super League | Punjab FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Mumbai City FC |
| 16/01/25 India Super League | Punjab FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mumbai City FC |
| 26/11/24 India Super League | Mumbai City FC | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Punjab FC |
| 02/03/24 India Super League | Punjab FC | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Mumbai City FC |
| 16/01/24 India Super Cup | Mumbai City FC | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Punjab FC |
| 02/11/23 India Super League | Mumbai City FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Punjab FC |
Standings · India Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northeast United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Bengaluru | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | East Bengal Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Punjab FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Mohun Bagan SG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Kerala Blasters | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Churchill Brothers SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Goa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Odisha FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Chennaiyin FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Inter Kashi FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Mumbai City FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Sporting Club Delhi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Punjab FC | Mumbai City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Odisha FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| East Bengal Club | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Inter Kashi FC | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Mohun Bagan SG | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Mohammedan SC | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Punjab FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Odisha FC India Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Mumbai City FC India Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Chennaiyin FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Sporting Club Delhi India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/04 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/04 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Kerala Blasters India Super League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Mumbai City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Churchill Brothers SC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Punjab FC India Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | Mohammedan SC India Super League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/05 | East Bengal Club India Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Bengaluru India Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | FC Goa India Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/04 | Jamshedpur FC India Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Odisha FC India Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Mohun Bagan SG India Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Inter Kashi FC India Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Punjab FC win (39%). Probabilities: Punjab FC 39%, draw 29%, Mumbai City FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Punjab FC 1.22 · Mumbai City FC 1.07), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Punjab FC vs Mumbai City FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.