Prediction: Wong Tai Sin vs Tuen Mun SA
Team pages: Wong Tai Sin · Tuen Mun SA
- Tuen Mun SA1-4Wong Tai Sin
| Wong Tai Sin | Draw | Tuen Mun SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 23% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wong Tai Sin (rating 1491 vs 1409).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wong Tai Sin | Tuen Mun SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wong Tai Sin 1–0–0 Tuen Mun SA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Tuen Mun SA | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Wong Tai Sin |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wong Tai Sin | Tuen Mun SA |
|---|---|---|
| Fukien | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Kui Tan SC | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Wing Yee | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| GFC Friends | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Wong Tai Sin (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wong Tai Sin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 17/05 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/01 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/12 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/12 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 30/11 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/11 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
Tuen Mun SA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/01 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/12 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/11 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/11 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/10 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
3-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wong Tai Sin vs Tuen Mun SA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wong Tai Sin win (43%). Probabilities: Wong Tai Sin 43%, draw 25%, Tuen Mun SA 32%.
How many goals are expected in Wong Tai Sin vs Tuen Mun SA?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Wong Tai Sin 1.53 · Tuen Mun SA 1.29), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wong Tai Sin vs Tuen Mun SA?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.