Prediction: Sui Tung vs Yau Tsim Mong
Team pages: Yau Tsim Mong
- Sui Tung6-1Yau Tsim Mong
- Yau Tsim Mong0-3Sui Tung
| Sui Tung | Draw | Yau Tsim Mong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sui Tung (rating 1502 vs 1411).
- H2H favours Sui Tung: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sui Tung | Yau Tsim Mong | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sui Tung 2–0–0 Yau Tsim Mong
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Sui Tung | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Yau Tsim Mong |
| 12/10/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Yau Tsim Mong | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Sui Tung |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sui Tung | Yau Tsim Mong |
|---|---|---|
| GFC Friends | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Leaper FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Wing Yee | 2-0 W | 3-5 L |
| Wanchai | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Kwai Tsing DFA | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sui Tung (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sui Tung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/02 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
2-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/01 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/12 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Yau Tsim Mong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/01 | Sparta Asia Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sui Tung vs Yau Tsim Mong?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sui Tung win (53%). Probabilities: Sui Tung 53%, draw 23%, Yau Tsim Mong 24%.
How many goals are expected in Sui Tung vs Yau Tsim Mong?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Sui Tung 2.16 · Yau Tsim Mong 1.44), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sui Tung vs Yau Tsim Mong?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.