Football · Algeria Division 1 · 07/10, 21:00

Prediction: CR Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela

Team pages: CR Belouizdad · USM Khenchela

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
CR Belouizdad1.9
USM Khenchela0.57
1X2
69% 22% 9%
CR Belouizdad Draw USM Khenchela
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CR Belouizdad 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WDLWWDDDWW
USM Khenchela 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDWWDD
Head-to-head
CR Belouizdad 2–2–2 USM Khenchela (6 last)
  • CR Belouizdad3-1USM Khenchela
  • USM Khenchela1-1CR Belouizdad
  • CR Belouizdad3-0USM Khenchela
  • USM Khenchela0-0CR Belouizdad
  • USM Khenchela2-1CR Belouizdad
  • CR Belouizdad2-3USM Khenchela
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CR Belouizdad 1579 · USM Khenchela 1532
CR BelouizdadDrawUSM Khenchela
Our model69%22%9%
Market69%22%9%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CR Belouizdad (rating 1579 vs 1532).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CR BelouizdadUSM Khenchela
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.41.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.32.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CR Belouizdad 2–2–2 USM Khenchela

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/05/26
Algeria Division 1
CR Belouizdad3-1
HT 2-1
USM Khenchela
06/09/25
Algeria Division 1
USM Khenchela1-1
HT 1-0
CR Belouizdad
12/02/25
Algeria Division 1
CR Belouizdad3-0
HT 1-0
USM Khenchela
02/10/24
Algeria Division 1
USM Khenchela0-0
HT 0-0
CR Belouizdad
04/05/24
Algeria Division 1
USM Khenchela2-1
HT 0-0
CR Belouizdad
07/10/23
Algeria Division 1
CR Belouizdad2-3
HT 2-2
USM Khenchela

Standings · Algeria Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 USM Alger 3210 527
2 CR Belouizdad 3210 537
3 MC Oran 2200 306
4 ES Ben Aknoun 3120 435
5 CS Constantine 3111 564
6 CR Temouchent 3111 234
7 MC Alger 1100 203
8 JS Kabylie 2101 113
9 Olympique Akbou 3102 453
10 MB Rouissat 3102 233
11 ES Setif 3102 533
12 JS El Biar 3102 443
13 USM Khenchela 2020 112
14 US Biskra 3021 232
15 ASO Chlef 3012 371
16 JS Saoura 2011 041

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCR BelouizdadUSM Khenchela
USM Alger 1-1 D 0-0 D
ES Ben Aknoun 3-1 W 1-1 D
JS Saoura 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CR Belouizdad (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CR Belouizdad

WDLWWDDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/09 US Biskra
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 83 W
11/09 ES Setif
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 42 W
05/09 ASO Chlef
Algeria Division 1
3-2 3-3 41 D
05/06 JS Kabylie
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 73 D
02/06 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
1-1 1-1 34 D
24/05 ES Ben Aknoun
Algeria Division 1
3-1 3-1 103 W
20/05 MC Oran
Algeria Division 1
1-0 3-1 63 W
16/05 ES Setif
Algeria Division 1
1-3 1-3 57 L
12/05 JS Saoura
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 42 D
08/05 Olympique Akbou
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-0 32 W

USM Khenchela

WWLLWDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 ES Ben Aknoun
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-1 122 D
04/09 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
05/06 MB Rouissat
Algeria Division 1
0-0 1-0 76 W
25/05 USM Alger
Algeria Division 1
2-1 2-1 34 W
19/05 CS Constantine
Algeria Division 1
2-2 2-2 51 D
08/05 MC El Bayadh
Algeria Division 1
1-0 2-1 –– W
04/05 CR Belouizdad
Algeria Division 1
1-2 1-3 12 L
17/04 JS Saoura
Algeria Division 1
0-1 0-3 22 L
10/04 ES Mostaganem
Algeria Division 1
2-0 3-0 51 W
05/04 Paradou AC
Algeria Division 1
1-0 1-0 73 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CR Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CR Belouizdad win (69%). Probabilities: CR Belouizdad 69%, draw 22%, USM Khenchela 9%.

How many goals are expected in CR Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

The model expects 2.47 goals (CR Belouizdad 1.9 · USM Khenchela 0.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CR Belouizdad vs USM Khenchela?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.