Football · Spain Tercera Group 15 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: CD Pamplona vs Huarte

Team pages: Huarte

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

CD Pamplona1.52

Huarte0.87

1X2

52% 28% 20%

CD Pamplona Draw Huarte

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Pamplona 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDLDD

Huarte 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDLDD

Head-to-head

CD Pamplona 4–1–1 Huarte (6 last)

CD Pamplona1-0Huarte
Huarte1-2CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona2-0Huarte
Huarte4-0CD Pamplona
Huarte1-1CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona5-1Huarte

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Pamplona 1568 · Huarte 1502

	CD Pamplona	Draw	Huarte
Our model	51%	28%	20%
Market	52%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Pamplona (rating 1568 vs 1502).
H2H favours CD Pamplona: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Pamplona	Huarte
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	0 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.25

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.60 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.62

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +16’	1.73	3.25	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:13 +34’	1.63	3.60	4.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Pamplona 4–1–1 Huarte

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	1-0	Huarte
10/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 15	Huarte	1-2	CD Pamplona
04/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	2-0 HT 1-0	Huarte
23/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 15	Huarte	4-0	CD Pamplona
10/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 15	Huarte	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Pamplona
18/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Pamplona	5-1 HT 4-0	Huarte

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 15

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Izarra	4	4	0	0	16	2	12
2	Mutilvera	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
3	CF Gazte Berriak	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
4	Beti Kozkor KE	4	2	1	1	3	4	7
5	Subiza	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
6	Aoiz	4	1	3	0	4	2	6
7	Avance	4	1	2	1	6	3	5
8	Doneztebe FT	4	1	2	1	10	6	5
9	Valle Egues	4	1	2	1	8	8	5
10	UDC Txantrea	4	1	2	1	4	7	5
11	AD San Juan	4	1	1	2	7	6	4
12	CD Beti Onak	4	0	4	0	4	4	4
13	CD Cortes	4	1	1	2	2	6	4
14	CD Cantolagua	4	1	0	3	2	11	3
15	CD Pamplona	4	0	3	1	2	3	3
16	Huarte	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
17	Bidezarra	4	0	2	2	2	8	2
18	Cirbonero	4	0	2	2	1	7	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Pamplona	Huarte
Doneztebe FT	1-1 D	3-3 D
Aoiz	1-1 D	0-0 D
AD San Juan	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Pamplona (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Pamplona

WWWWWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CD Cortes Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Beti Kozkor KE Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
09/05	Huarte Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	CD Cortes Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Oberena Spain Tercera Group 15	1-1	2-1	11	6	W
19/04	Izarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	3-1	–	–	W

Huarte

WLWWWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/09	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
10/09	CD Cantolagua Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-2	9	8	L
05/09	Mutilvera Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-0	–	–	W
24/04	At. Artajones Spain Tercera Group 15	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	Subiza Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/04	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/04	CD Beti Onak Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	2-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Pamplona vs Huarte?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Pamplona win (52%). Probabilities: CD Pamplona 52%, draw 28%, Huarte 20%.

How many goals are expected in CD Pamplona vs Huarte?

The model expects 2.39 goals (CD Pamplona 1.52 · Huarte 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Pamplona vs Huarte?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.