Football · Spain Tercera Group 15 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: CD Cortes vs Izarra

Team pages: CD Cortes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

CD Cortes1.16

Izarra1.74

1X2

24% 26% 50%

CD Cortes Draw Izarra

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cortes 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLWLD

Izarra 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

CD Cortes 1–1 Izarra (2 last)

Izarra3-0CD Cortes
CD Cortes2-1Izarra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cortes 1449 · Izarra 1587

	CD Cortes	Draw	Izarra
Our model	24%	26%	50%
Market	24%	26%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izarra (rating 1449 vs 1587).
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cortes	Izarra
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.8	2.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1.7	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/0/100%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 1.7	4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	7 / 1

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.40

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.58 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.47
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +57’	3.70	3.40	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:18 +193’	4.58	3.47	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cortes 1–0–1 Izarra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 15	Izarra	3-0 HT 0-0	CD Cortes
14/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 15	CD Cortes	2-1	Izarra

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 15

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Izarra	4	4	0	0	16	2	12
2	Mutilvera	4	2	2	0	3	1	8
3	CF Gazte Berriak	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
4	Beti Kozkor KE	4	2	1	1	3	4	7
5	Subiza	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
6	Aoiz	4	1	3	0	4	2	6
7	Avance	4	1	2	1	6	3	5
8	Doneztebe FT	4	1	2	1	10	6	5
9	Valle Egues	4	1	2	1	8	8	5
10	UDC Txantrea	4	1	2	1	4	7	5
11	AD San Juan	4	1	1	2	7	6	4
12	CD Beti Onak	4	0	4	0	4	4	4
13	CD Cortes	4	1	1	2	2	6	4
14	CD Cantolagua	4	1	0	3	2	11	3
15	CD Pamplona	4	0	3	1	2	3	3
16	Huarte	4	0	3	1	4	5	3
17	Bidezarra	4	0	2	2	2	8	2
18	Cirbonero	4	0	2	2	1	7	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cortes	Izarra
CD Pamplona	0-0 D	0-2 L
Beti Kozkor KE	0-1 L	4-1 W
Bidezarra	2-0 W	4-0 W
AD San Juan	0-5 L	4-1 W
UDC Txantrea	1-3 L	2-1 W
Cirbonero	2-2 D	4-0 W
Subiza	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Izarra (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cortes

DLLDLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Beti Kozkor KE Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	0-2	0-5	2	6	L
09/05	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
03/05	CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/04	Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/04	At. Artajones Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/04	Subiza Spain Tercera Group 15	0-1	1-4	1	5	L
02/04	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D

Izarra

WLWDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Beti Kozkor KE Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-0	–	–	W
17/05	Subiza Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
09/05	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	–	4-1	–	–	W
03/05	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/04	CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/04	Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cortes vs Izarra?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Izarra win (50%). Probabilities: CD Cortes 24%, draw 26%, Izarra 50%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cortes vs Izarra?

The model expects 2.89 goals (CD Cortes 1.16 · Izarra 1.74), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cortes vs Izarra?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.