Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)

Team pages: Palestino (W) · Coquimbo Unido (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Palestino (W)1.49

Coquimbo Unido (W)1.6

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Palestino (W) Draw Coquimbo Unido (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Palestino (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWWLL

Coquimbo Unido (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWDWWLW

Head-to-head

Palestino (W) 2–3–1 Coquimbo Unido (W) (6 last)

Palestino (W)2-0Coquimbo Unido (W)
Coquimbo Unido (W)1-1Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)1-1Coquimbo Unido (W)
Coquimbo Unido (W)0-0Palestino (W)
Palestino (W)4-1Coquimbo Unido (W)
Coquimbo Unido (W)2-0Palestino (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino (W) 1512 · Coquimbo Unido (W) 1552

	Palestino (W)	Draw	Coquimbo Unido (W)
Our model	35%	26%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (W) (rating 1512 vs 1552).
H2H favours Palestino (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palestino (W)	Coquimbo Unido (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	3.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	1.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	78/11/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.9	1.3 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.65 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:05 +9’	2.60	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:15 +3’	2.65	3.20	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino (W) 2–3–1 Coquimbo Unido (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Coquimbo Unido (W)
28/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Palestino (W)
22/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Coquimbo Unido (W)
03/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Palestino (W)
27/07/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Palestino (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	Coquimbo Unido (W)
13/04/24 Chile Primera Division Women	Coquimbo Unido (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Palestino (W)

Standings · Chile Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo (W)	24	23	1	0	100	4	70
2	Universidad Catolica (W)	24	19	1	4	54	15	58
3	Universidad de Chile (W)	24	17	3	4	64	24	54
4	Coquimbo Unido (W)	24	14	5	5	51	21	47
5	Palestino (W)	24	10	5	9	32	32	35
6	Union Espanola (W)	24	9	5	10	26	28	32
7	Deportes Iquique (W)	24	9	4	11	36	36	31
8	Huachipato (W)	23	8	6	9	25	40	30
9	Magallanes (W)	24	7	3	14	30	58	24
10	Universidad de Concepcion (W)	24	6	4	14	25	47	22
11	Santiago Wanderers (W)	24	5	5	14	18	44	20
12	Deportes Temuco (W)	24	4	2	18	22	65	14
13	Deportes Recoleta (W)	23	2	0	21	21	90	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palestino (W)	Coquimbo Unido (W)
Universidad de Concepcion (W)	0-2 L	4-0 W
Magallanes (W)	4-1 W	2-2 D
Union Espanola (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Huachipato (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
Universidad de Chile (W)	0-0 D	6-4 W
Universidad Catolica (W)	0-5 L	2-3 L
Colo Colo (W)	0-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino (W)

LLDWWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	0-2	6	1	L
06/09	Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
28/08	Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
21/08	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
16/08	Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
12/08	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
02/08	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
12/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-4	2	0	L

Coquimbo Unido (W)

LLWWWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	5-0	1	1	W
28/08	Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
23/08	Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/08	Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
12/08	Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
08/08	Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
01/08	Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-0	4-0	1	5	W
28/07	Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women	3-1	6-4	1	3	W
13/07	Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women	1-0	2-3	1	3	L
08/07	Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women	0-0	0-3	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coquimbo Unido (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Palestino (W) 35%, draw 26%, Coquimbo Unido (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Palestino (W) 1.49 · Coquimbo Unido (W) 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino (W) vs Coquimbo Unido (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.