Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 30/09, 23:00
Prediction: Union Espanola (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)
Team pages: Union Espanola (W) · Universidad Catolica (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Union Espanola (W)0.77
Universidad Catolica (W)2.03
1X2
Union Espanola (W)
Draw
Universidad Catolica (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Espanola (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Universidad Catolica (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Espanola (W)
2–2–2
Universidad Catolica (W)
(6 last)
- Union Espanola (W)1-3Universidad Catolica (W)
- Universidad Catolica (W)2-0Union Espanola (W)
- Union Espanola (W)1-0Universidad Catolica (W)
- Universidad Catolica (W)0-1Union Espanola (W)
- Universidad Catolica (W)1-1Union Espanola (W)
- Union Espanola (W)0-0Universidad Catolica (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Espanola (W) 1455 · Universidad Catolica (W) 1593
| Union Espanola (W) | Draw | Universidad Catolica (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 22% | 66% |
| Market | 13% | 21% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (W) (rating 1455 vs 1593).
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Espanola (W) | Universidad Catolica (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/44/44% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 4.5 / 8.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Espanola (W) 2–2–2 Universidad Catolica (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 14/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 07/09/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
| 18/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 01/09/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad Catolica (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola (W) |
| 18/05/24 Chile Primera Division Women | Union Espanola (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 24 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 54 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola (W) | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 31 |
| 8 | Huachipato (W) | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 40 | 30 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 58 | 24 |
| 10 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | 22 |
| 11 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 44 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 22 | 65 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 90 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Espanola (W) | Universidad Catolica (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Recoleta (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Huachipato (W) | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Universidad de Chile (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Palestino (W) | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Deportes Temuco (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Espanola (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 12/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | D |
Universidad Catolica (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 15 | 5 | L |
| 12/08 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Espanola (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad Catolica (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Union Espanola (W) 13%, draw 21%, Universidad Catolica (W) 66%.
How many goals are expected in Union Espanola (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Union Espanola (W) 0.77 · Universidad Catolica (W) 2.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Espanola (W) vs Universidad Catolica (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.