Football · Chile Primera Division Women · 27/09, 19:00
Prediction: Huachipato (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)
Team pages: Huachipato (W) · Universidad de Chile (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Huachipato (W)0.75
Universidad de Chile (W)2.36
1X2
Huachipato (W)
Draw
Universidad de Chile (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Huachipato (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Huachipato (W)
0–1–5
Universidad de Chile (W)
(6 last)
- Universidad de Chile (W)3-0Huachipato (W)
- Huachipato (W)0-1Universidad de Chile (W)
- Universidad de Chile (W)3-0Huachipato (W)
- Huachipato (W)1-1Universidad de Chile (W)
- Huachipato (W)1-2Universidad de Chile (W)
- Universidad de Chile (W)4-0Huachipato (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huachipato (W) 1477 · Universidad de Chile (W) 1562
| Huachipato (W) | Draw | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 18% | 72% |
| Market | 10% | 17% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (W) (rating 1477 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huachipato (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 56/11/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 4.3 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huachipato (W) 0–1–5 Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Huachipato (W) |
| 27/03/26 Chile Primera Division Women | Huachipato (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 07/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato (W) |
| 01/11/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Huachipato (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 08/06/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Huachipato (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Universidad de Chile (W) |
| 14/05/25 Chile Primera Division Women | Universidad de Chile (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Huachipato (W) |
Standings · Chile Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo (W) | 24 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 4 | 70 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica (W) | 24 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 54 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile (W) | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido (W) | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Palestino (W) | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 35 |
| 6 | Union Espanola (W) | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportes Iquique (W) | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 31 |
| 8 | Huachipato (W) | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 40 | 30 |
| 9 | Magallanes (W) | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 58 | 24 |
| 10 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | 22 |
| 11 | Santiago Wanderers (W) | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 44 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco (W) | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 22 | 65 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportes Recoleta (W) | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 90 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huachipato (W) | Universidad de Chile (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Union Espanola (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Coquimbo Unido (W) | 0-4 L | 4-6 L |
| Universidad Catolica (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Palestino (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Santiago Wanderers (W) | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Magallanes (W) | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huachipato (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 05/09 | Universidad de Chile (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/08 | Universidad de Concepcion (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportes Temuco (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Universidad de Chile (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Huachipato (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Universidad Catolica (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/08 | Santiago Wanderers (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | Deportes Iquique (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Union Espanola (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Colo Colo (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Palestino (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 28/07 | Coquimbo Unido (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
1-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportes Recoleta (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Magallanes (W) Chile Primera Division Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Huachipato (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Huachipato (W) 10%, draw 18%, Universidad de Chile (W) 73%.
How many goals are expected in Huachipato (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Huachipato (W) 0.75 · Universidad de Chile (W) 2.36), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Huachipato (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.