Football · Argentina Torneo A · 10/10, 02:30

Prediction: San Martin de Mendoza vs CDA Monte Maiz

Team pages: San Martin de Mendoza · CDA Monte Maiz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

San Martin de Mendoza1.37

CDA Monte Maiz0.65

1X2

53% 30% 17%

San Martin de Mendoza Draw CDA Monte Maiz

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin de Mendoza 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWDLDWD

CDA Monte Maiz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDDWWW

Head-to-head

San Martin de Mendoza 1–2–3 CDA Monte Maiz (6 last)

San Martin de Mendoza1-1CDA Monte Maiz
CDA Monte Maiz4-1San Martin de Mendoza
San Martin de Mendoza1-1CDA Monte Maiz
CDA Monte Maiz0-1San Martin de Mendoza
CDA Monte Maiz1-0San Martin de Mendoza
San Martin de Mendoza0-1CDA Monte Maiz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin de Mendoza 1519 · CDA Monte Maiz 1515

	San Martin de Mendoza	Draw	CDA Monte Maiz
Our model	53%	30%	17%
Market	53%	30%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CDA Monte Maiz: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin de Mendoza	CDA Monte Maiz
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.3	2.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 00:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.67▼	Pinn 1.88 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	4.75 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:49 +21’	1.75	3.00	4.75
21:44 +6’	1.61▼	3.10▲	5.50▲
00:46 +9’	1.67▲	3.00▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +42’	1.81	2.88	4.39
00:30 +24’	1.88▲	2.80▼	4.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Mendoza 1–2–3 CDA Monte Maiz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	1-1 HT 0-1	CDA Monte Maiz
17/05/26 Argentina Torneo A	CDA Monte Maiz	4-1 HT 2-0	San Martin de Mendoza
22/06/25 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	1-1 HT 0-1	CDA Monte Maiz
20/04/25 Argentina Torneo A	CDA Monte Maiz	0-1 HT 0-1	San Martin de Mendoza
06/07/24 Argentina Torneo A	CDA Monte Maiz	1-0 HT 0-0	San Martin de Mendoza
11/05/24 Argentina Torneo A	San Martin de Mendoza	0-1 HT 0-1	CDA Monte Maiz

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Costa Brava	9	4	4	1	11	7	16
2	San Martin de Mendoza	9	4	4	1	9	6	16
3	FADEP Mendoza	9	4	3	2	7	4	15
4	Deportivo Rincon	9	4	3	2	11	5	15
5	Juventud Unida Universitario	9	4	2	3	7	6	14
6	Germinal de Rawson	9	3	4	2	10	7	13
7	Club Circulo Deportivo	9	3	2	4	6	7	11
8	Guillermo Brown	9	3	2	4	6	7	11
9	Sol de Mayo	9	2	0	7	6	14	6
10	Santamarina Tandil	9	2	0	7	6	16	6

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin de Mendoza

DDWWWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Juventud Unida Universitario Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
13/09	Club Circulo Deportivo Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
06/09	Guillermo Brown Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
30/08	FADEP Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	0-2	0-2	10	4	L
23/08	Germinal de Rawson Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/08	Deportivo Rincon Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
13/08	Sol de Mayo Argentina Torneo A	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Santamarina Tandil Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
02/08	CA Costa Brava Argentina Torneo A	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
26/07	CDA Monte Maiz Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-1	8	0	D

CDA Monte Maiz

DDLLLDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Club Villa Mitre Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	Huracan Las Heras Argentina Torneo A	1-0	2-1	9	3	W
30/08	Juventud Antoniana Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
23/08	CA Alvarado Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
16/08	Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
12/08	Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
08/08	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
03/08	Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
26/07	San Martin de Mendoza Argentina Torneo A	1-0	1-1	6	0	D
12/07	Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin de Mendoza vs CDA Monte Maiz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Mendoza win (53%). Probabilities: San Martin de Mendoza 53%, draw 30%, CDA Monte Maiz 17%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin de Mendoza vs CDA Monte Maiz?

The model expects 2.01 goals (San Martin de Mendoza 1.37 · CDA Monte Maiz 0.65), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin de Mendoza vs CDA Monte Maiz?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.