Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 04/10, 21:30

Prediction: Zamora II vs Yaracuyanos

Team pages: Zamora II · Yaracuyanos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Zamora II1.62

Yaracuyanos1.33

1X2

43% 27% 30%

Zamora II Draw Yaracuyanos

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWLWWL

Yaracuyanos 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Zamora II 1–2 Yaracuyanos (3 last)

Yaracuyanos2-1Zamora II
Zamora II3-2Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos2-1Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora II 1494 · Yaracuyanos 1517

	Zamora II	Draw	Yaracuyanos
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yaracuyanos: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora II	Yaracuyanos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +7’	2.10	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora II 1–0–2 Yaracuyanos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	2-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II
20/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	3-2 HT 0-1	Yaracuyanos
25/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	2-1 HT 1-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	28	19	6	3	50	20	63
2	Barquisimeto	29	15	8	6	52	32	53
3	Urena SC	28	12	9	7	41	34	45
4	Yaracuyanos	28	12	7	9	37	27	43
5	Zamora II	28	11	7	10	45	40	40
6	Atletico El Vigia	30	11	7	12	40	50	40
7	Academia Puerto Cabello II	29	8	7	14	36	43	31
8	Atletico Barinas	29	9	4	16	50	61	31
9	Real Frontera	29	3	3	23	22	66	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora II	Yaracuyanos
Atletico El Vigia	3-4 L	0-1 L
Atletico Barinas	2-1 W	0-1 L
Urena SC	3-0 W	4-3 W
Barquisimeto	0-2 L	0-0 D
Academia Puerto Cabello II	3-0 W	3-0 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	3-0 W
CD Lara	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Yaracuyanos (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora II

WLLLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	3-4	6	7	L
26/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	7	3	W
20/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	5	6	W
16/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
06/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
02/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
29/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W

Yaracuyanos

WDWDWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
26/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
19/09	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
13/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
06/09	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
02/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	4-3	5	6	W
30/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
22/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
14/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
08/08	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora II vs Yaracuyanos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora II win (43%). Probabilities: Zamora II 43%, draw 27%, Yaracuyanos 30%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora II vs Yaracuyanos?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Zamora II 1.62 · Yaracuyanos 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora II vs Yaracuyanos?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.