Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 03/10, 22:30
Prediction: Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
Team pages: Barquisimeto · Atletico El Vigia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Barquisimeto1.88
Atletico El Vigia1.54
1X2
Barquisimeto
Draw
Atletico El Vigia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Barquisimeto
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Atletico El Vigia
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barquisimeto
3–2–1
Atletico El Vigia
(6 last)
- Atletico El Vigia5-2Barquisimeto
- Barquisimeto5-0Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia1-2Barquisimeto
- Barquisimeto1-0Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia1-1Barquisimeto
- Barquisimeto1-1Atletico El Vigia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barquisimeto: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barquisimeto | Atletico El Vigia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 3.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barquisimeto 3–2–1 Atletico El Vigia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Barquisimeto |
| 20/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Barquisimeto | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 25/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Barquisimeto |
| 13/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Barquisimeto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 03/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Barquisimeto |
| 07/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Barquisimeto | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Lara | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 20 | 63 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | Urena SC | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 45 |
| 4 | Yaracuyanos | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Zamora II | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | 37 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 43 | 31 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 50 | 61 | 31 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 66 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barquisimeto | Atletico El Vigia |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Barinas | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Urena SC | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Zamora II | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Frontera | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| CD Lara | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Yaracuyanos | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barquisimeto (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barquisimeto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
Atletico El Vigia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barquisimeto win (45%). Probabilities: Barquisimeto 45%, draw 24%, Atletico El Vigia 31%.
How many goals are expected in Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Barquisimeto 1.88 · Atletico El Vigia 1.54), with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.