Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 04/10, 21:00
Prediction: Bolivar SC vs Monagas II
Team pages: Bolivar SC · Monagas II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Bolivar SC1.38
Monagas II1.43
1X2
Bolivar SC
Draw
Monagas II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bolivar SC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Monagas II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bolivar SC
3–1–2
Monagas II
(6 last)
- Monagas II2-3Bolivar SC
- Bolivar SC2-1Monagas II
- Monagas II0-1Bolivar SC
- Monagas II3-0Bolivar SC
- Bolivar SC1-1Monagas II
- Monagas II3-2Bolivar SC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1480 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Bolivar SC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bolivar SC | Monagas II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar SC 3–1–2 Monagas II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Bolivar SC |
| 17/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Monagas II |
| 23/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bolivar SC |
| 07/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bolivar SC |
| 24/07/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Monagas II |
| 01/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Monagas II | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Bolivar SC |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 45 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda FC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 18 | 41 |
| 3 | Aragua | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
| 4 | Bolivar SC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 37 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Mineros | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 |
| 7 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 29 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bolivar SC | Monagas II |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Puerto FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Aragua | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Mineros | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Miranda FC | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Avila | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Monagas II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolivar SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Monagas II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolivar SC vs Monagas II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monagas II win (37%). Probabilities: Bolivar SC 35%, draw 28%, Monagas II 37%.
How many goals are expected in Bolivar SC vs Monagas II?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Bolivar SC 1.38 · Monagas II 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bolivar SC vs Monagas II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.