Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 02/10, 20:45
Prediction: Dundalk vs Bohemians Dublin
Team pages: Dundalk · Bohemians Dublin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.44Total
Dundalk1.56
Bohemians Dublin1.88
1X2
Dundalk
Draw
Bohemians Dublin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Dundalk
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Bohemians Dublin
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dundalk
2–2–2
Bohemians Dublin
(6 last)
- Bohemians Dublin1-2Dundalk
- Dundalk1-3Bohemians Dublin
- Bohemians Dublin1-1Dundalk
- Dundalk0-2Bohemians Dublin
- Bohemians Dublin1-1Dundalk
- Dundalk2-0Bohemians Dublin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dundalk 1441 · Bohemians Dublin 1564
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians Dublin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bohemians Dublin (rating 1441 vs 1564).
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dundalk | Bohemians Dublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 2.5 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundalk 2–2–2 Bohemians Dublin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Bohemians Dublin | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dundalk |
| 08/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Bohemians Dublin |
| 20/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Bohemians Dublin | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dundalk |
| 27/09/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bohemians Dublin |
| 26/07/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Bohemians Dublin | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Dundalk |
| 26/04/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Bohemians Dublin |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | 23 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dundalk | Bohemians Dublin |
|---|---|---|
| Shelbourne | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| St Patricks | 0-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Waterford FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Drogheda United | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Galway United | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Sligo Rovers | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bohemians Dublin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dundalk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 31/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
Bohemians Dublin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 5-3 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dundalk vs Bohemians Dublin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bohemians Dublin win (44%). Probabilities: Dundalk 31%, draw 25%, Bohemians Dublin 44%.
How many goals are expected in Dundalk vs Bohemians Dublin?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Dundalk 1.56 · Bohemians Dublin 1.88), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Bohemians Dublin?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.