Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 08/10, 17:00

Prediction: Union de Touarga vs RSB Berkane

Team pages: Union de Touarga · RSB Berkane

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Union de Touarga0.91

RSB Berkane1.41

1X2

23% 30% 47%

Union de Touarga Draw RSB Berkane

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Union de Touarga 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLLDWWWW

RSB Berkane 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDLWWD

Head-to-head

Union de Touarga 0–3–3 RSB Berkane (6 last)

RSB Berkane4-3Union de Touarga
Union de Touarga2-2RSB Berkane
RSB Berkane1-1Union de Touarga
Union de Touarga0-1RSB Berkane
RSB Berkane0-0Union de Touarga
Union de Touarga1-3RSB Berkane

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union de Touarga 1557 · RSB Berkane 1551

	Union de Touarga	Draw	RSB Berkane
Our model	23%	30%	47%
Market	22%	31%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RSB Berkane: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union de Touarga	RSB Berkane
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	1.7 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.6	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.00

X2.90

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 22.02

Under 21.77

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +6’	4.00	2.90	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union de Touarga 0–3–3 RSB Berkane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	4-3 HT 3-2	Union de Touarga
05/10/25 Morocco GNF 1	Union de Touarga	2-2 HT 1-2	RSB Berkane
15/03/25 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	1-1 HT 0-0	Union de Touarga
10/11/24 Morocco GNF 1	Union de Touarga	0-1 HT 0-0	RSB Berkane
14/02/24 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	0-0 HT 0-0	Union de Touarga
20/09/23 Morocco GNF 1	Union de Touarga	1-3 HT 0-2	RSB Berkane

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MAS Fes	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Union de Touarga	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Ittihad Tanger	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Widad Temara	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
5	HUSA Agadir	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
6	KACM Marrakesh	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
7	CODM Meknes	2	1	0	1	6	3	3
8	Raja Casablanca	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
9	WAC Casablanca	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	US Amal Tiznit	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	MAT Tetouan	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	RSB Berkane	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
13	FAR Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FUS Rabat	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	Renaissance Zemamra	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
16	Difaa El Jadida	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union de Touarga	RSB Berkane
FUS Rabat	2-1 W	1-2 L
WAC Casablanca	2-1 W	2-0 W
Ittihad Tanger	1-0 W	1-0 W
FAR Rabat	2-2 D	2-2 D
Difaa El Jadida	1-2 L	3-1 W
HUSA Agadir	0-1 L	0-1 L
Raja Casablanca	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RSB Berkane (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union de Touarga

WDWLLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
26/09	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
05/07	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/07	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
28/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-2	1	5	D
25/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-2	0	3	L
21/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
17/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
14/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
09/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W

RSB Berkane

WWLDWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/07	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
02/07	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
28/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
25/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
21/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
18/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
08/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
03/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	0	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union de Touarga vs RSB Berkane?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RSB Berkane win (47%). Probabilities: Union de Touarga 23%, draw 30%, RSB Berkane 47%.

How many goals are expected in Union de Touarga vs RSB Berkane?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Union de Touarga 0.91 · RSB Berkane 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Union de Touarga vs RSB Berkane?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.