Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 08/10, 21:00

Prediction: MAS Fes vs Raja Casablanca

Team pages: MAS Fes · Raja Casablanca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.13Total

MAS Fes1.15

Raja Casablanca0.97

1X2

39% 32% 30%

MAS Fes Draw Raja Casablanca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

MAS Fes 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWDWWW

Raja Casablanca 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLDWWW

Head-to-head

MAS Fes 0–4–2 Raja Casablanca (6 last)

MAS Fes0-2Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca1-1MAS Fes
Raja Casablanca0-0MAS Fes
MAS Fes0-0Raja Casablanca
Raja Casablanca1-0MAS Fes
MAS Fes1-1Raja Casablanca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MAS Fes 1559 · Raja Casablanca 1545

	MAS Fes	Draw	Raja Casablanca
Our model	38%	32%	29%
Market	39%	31%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Raja Casablanca: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MAS Fes	Raja Casablanca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.88

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +5’	2.30	2.88	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MAS Fes 0–4–2 Raja Casablanca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Morocco GNF 1	MAS Fes	0-2 HT 0-1	Raja Casablanca
03/10/25 Morocco GNF 1	Raja Casablanca	1-1 HT 0-0	MAS Fes
28/02/25 Morocco GNF 1	Raja Casablanca	0-0 HT 0-0	MAS Fes
25/10/24 Morocco GNF 1	MAS Fes	0-0 HT 0-0	Raja Casablanca
14/02/24 Morocco GNF 1	Raja Casablanca	1-0 HT 1-0	MAS Fes
17/09/23 Morocco GNF 1	MAS Fes	1-1 HT 0-0	Raja Casablanca

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MAS Fes	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Union de Touarga	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Ittihad Tanger	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Widad Temara	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
5	HUSA Agadir	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
6	KACM Marrakesh	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
7	CODM Meknes	2	1	0	1	6	3	3
8	Raja Casablanca	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
9	WAC Casablanca	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	US Amal Tiznit	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
11	MAT Tetouan	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	RSB Berkane	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
13	FAR Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FUS Rabat	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	Renaissance Zemamra	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
16	Difaa El Jadida	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MAS Fes	Raja Casablanca
HUSA Agadir	2-1 W	2-0 W
Renaissance Zemamra	2-1 W	1-0 W
KACM Marrakesh	0-0 D	0-2 L
US Yacoub El Mansour	2-1 W	1-2 L
RSB Berkane	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MAS Fes (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MAS Fes

DDWLWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
27/09	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
05/07	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/07	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
28/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-1	2	4	W
25/06	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
21/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	1-2	1-2	6	7	L
17/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
12/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	6	11	D
09/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Raja Casablanca

LLDWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/07	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/07	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
28/06	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	4	9	D
25/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
21/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
17/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	2-2	4-3	3	5	W
14/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
09/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
03/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	12	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MAS Fes vs Raja Casablanca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MAS Fes win (39%). Probabilities: MAS Fes 39%, draw 32%, Raja Casablanca 30%.

How many goals are expected in MAS Fes vs Raja Casablanca?

The model expects 2.13 goals (MAS Fes 1.15 · Raja Casablanca 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in MAS Fes vs Raja Casablanca?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.