Football · Belarus Premier League · 10/10, 14:00
Prediction: Naftan Novopolotsk vs Belshina Bobruisk
Team pages: Naftan Novopolotsk · Belshina Bobruisk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Naftan Novopolotsk1.62
Belshina Bobruisk1.74
1X2
Naftan Novopolotsk
Draw
Belshina Bobruisk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Belshina Bobruisk
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Naftan Novopolotsk
1–2–3
Belshina Bobruisk
(6 last)
- Belshina Bobruisk5-1Naftan Novopolotsk
- Belshina Bobruisk0-3Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-1Belshina Bobruisk
- Belshina Bobruisk4-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-0Belshina Bobruisk
- Belshina Bobruisk1-1Naftan Novopolotsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belshina Bobruisk (rating 1440 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Belshina Bobruisk: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naftan Novopolotsk | Belshina Bobruisk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.4 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naftan Novopolotsk 1–2–3 Belshina Bobruisk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Belarus Premier League | Belshina Bobruisk | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 30/09/23 Belarus Premier League | Belshina Bobruisk | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 14/05/23 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Belshina Bobruisk |
| 25/09/21 Belarus Division 1 | Belshina Bobruisk | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 04/08/21 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belshina Bobruisk |
| 24/04/21 Belarus Division 1 | Belshina Bobruisk | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 54 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naftan Novopolotsk | Belshina Bobruisk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Minsk | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Vitebsk | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Neman Grodno | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FK Gomel | 0-6 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Belshina Bobruisk (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Belshina Bobruisk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Belshina Bobruisk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belshina Bobruisk win (40%). Probabilities: Naftan Novopolotsk 35%, draw 25%, Belshina Bobruisk 40%.
How many goals are expected in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Belshina Bobruisk?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Naftan Novopolotsk 1.62 · Belshina Bobruisk 1.74), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Belshina Bobruisk?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.