Football · Belarus Premier League · 18/10, 14:00
Prediction: Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov
Team pages: Dnepr Mogilev · BATE Borisov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Dnepr Mogilev1.34
BATE Borisov1.17
1X2
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw
BATE Borisov
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Dnepr Mogilev
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
BATE Borisov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dnepr Mogilev
0–3–3
BATE Borisov
(6 last)
- BATE Borisov1-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev1-1BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-1Dnepr Mogilev
- BATE Borisov2-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-3BATE Borisov
- Dnepr Mogilev2-3BATE Borisov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours BATE Borisov: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dnepr Mogilev | BATE Borisov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.8 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dnepr Mogilev 0–3–3 BATE Borisov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/26 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 01/09/24 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 1-1 HT 1-1 | BATE Borisov |
| 19/04/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 21/08/22 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 10/04/22 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-3 HT 0-2 | BATE Borisov |
| 31/01/20 Europe Friendlies | Dnepr Mogilev | 2-3 HT 1-1 | BATE Borisov |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 49 | 18 | 50 |
| 2 | Isloch | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 40 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 25 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 42 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 55 | 17 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dnepr Mogilev | BATE Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Isloch | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| FC Minsk | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: BATE Borisov (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dnepr Mogilev win (39%). Probabilities: Dnepr Mogilev 39%, draw 29%, BATE Borisov 31%.
How many goals are expected in Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Dnepr Mogilev 1.34 · BATE Borisov 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.