Football · Belarus Premier League · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Neman Grodno vs FC Baranovichi
Team pages: Neman Grodno · FC Baranovichi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Neman Grodno1.58
FC Baranovichi0.87
1X2
Neman Grodno
Draw
FC Baranovichi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Neman Grodno
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC Baranovichi
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neman Grodno
2–0
FC Baranovichi
(2 last)
- FC Baranovichi1-2Neman Grodno
- FC Baranovichi0-2Neman Grodno
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neman Grodno (rating 1551 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Neman Grodno: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neman Grodno | FC Baranovichi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.2 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neman Grodno 2–0–0 FC Baranovichi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Baranovichi | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Neman Grodno |
| 28/06/23 Belarus Cup | FC Baranovichi | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Neman Grodno |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 54 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neman Grodno | FC Baranovichi |
|---|---|---|
| Isloch | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| FK Gomel | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neman Grodno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
FC Baranovichi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 19/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neman Grodno vs FC Baranovichi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Neman Grodno win (53%). Probabilities: Neman Grodno 53%, draw 28%, FC Baranovichi 19%.
How many goals are expected in Neman Grodno vs FC Baranovichi?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Neman Grodno 1.58 · FC Baranovichi 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Neman Grodno vs FC Baranovichi?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.