Football · Belarus Premier League · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: FK Gomel vs FC ML Vitebsk
Team pages: FK Gomel · FC ML Vitebsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
FK Gomel1.09
FC ML Vitebsk1.08
1X2
FK Gomel
Draw
FC ML Vitebsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gomel
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FC ML Vitebsk
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Gomel
0–1–2
FC ML Vitebsk
(3 last)
- FC ML Vitebsk0-0FK Gomel
- FC ML Vitebsk5-0FK Gomel
- FK Gomel0-2FC ML Vitebsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC ML Vitebsk (rating 1529 vs 1583).
- H2H favours FC ML Vitebsk: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gomel | FC ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.6 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.6 | – / 9.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gomel 0–1–2 FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gomel |
| 23/11/25 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 5-0 HT 4-0 | FK Gomel |
| 28/06/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman Grodno | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 37 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 28 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 54 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gomel | FC ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 6-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Minsk | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| BATE Borisov | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gomel (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/07 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gomel vs FC ML Vitebsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gomel win (34%). Probabilities: FK Gomel 34%, draw 32%, FC ML Vitebsk 34%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gomel vs FC ML Vitebsk?
The model expects 2.17 goals (FK Gomel 1.09 · FC ML Vitebsk 1.08), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gomel vs FC ML Vitebsk?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.