Football · Belarus Premier League · 11/10, 18:30
Prediction: Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk
Team pages: Dnepr Mogilev · Dinamo Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Dnepr Mogilev1.16
Dinamo Minsk1.31
1X2
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw
Dinamo Minsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Dnepr Mogilev
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Minsk
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dnepr Mogilev
0–6
Dinamo Minsk
(6 last)
- Dinamo Minsk3-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dinamo Minsk2-0Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-2Dinamo Minsk
- Dnepr Mogilev0-1Dinamo Minsk
- Dinamo Minsk4-0Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-2Dinamo Minsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Minsk (rating 1460 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Dinamo Minsk: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dnepr Mogilev | Dinamo Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.7 | – / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dnepr Mogilev 0–0–6 Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 16/09/24 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 27/04/24 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 25/01/24 Club Friendly List | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Minsk |
| 04/09/22 Belarus Premier League | Dinamo Minsk | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 23/04/22 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Minsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 23 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | FK Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 39 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 41 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 42 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 21 |
| 14 | Belshina Bobruisk | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 55 | 17 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20 | 36 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dnepr Mogilev | Dinamo Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Isloch | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-3 D | 5-1 W |
| FC Minsk | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Vitebsk | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Minsk (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
Dinamo Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 24/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/07 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Minsk win (39%). Probabilities: Dnepr Mogilev 31%, draw 30%, Dinamo Minsk 39%.
How many goals are expected in Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Dnepr Mogilev 1.16 · Dinamo Minsk 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.