Prediction: Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas
Team pages: Uruguay Montevideo · Rentistas
- Rentistas1-0Uruguay Montevideo
- Rentistas1-3Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo1-3Rentistas
- Uruguay Montevideo1-0Rentistas
- Rentistas0-3Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo3-0Rentistas
| Uruguay Montevideo | Draw | Rentistas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rentistas (rating 1470 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Uruguay Montevideo: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uruguay Montevideo | Rentistas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 6.2 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Uruguay Montevideo 4–0–2 Rentistas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 18/10/25 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 26/07/25 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Rentistas |
| 29/03/25 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rentistas |
| 07/10/24 Uruguay Segunda | Rentistas | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 22/06/24 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Rentistas |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Uruguay Montevideo | Rentistas |
|---|---|---|
| Miramar Misiones | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Tacuarembo | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Plaza Colonia | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| La Luz | 0-0 D | 5-2 W |
| Cerrito | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Atenas | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| CA River Plate | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Oriental | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rentistas (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 12/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Rentistas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 21/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 12 | W |
| 18/07 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rentistas win (47%). Probabilities: Uruguay Montevideo 23%, draw 30%, Rentistas 47%.
How many goals are expected in Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Uruguay Montevideo 0.83 · Rentistas 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Uruguay Montevideo vs Rentistas?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.