Football · Taiwan Premier League · 20/09, 10:00
Prediction: Hang Yuen vs Taipei City Tatung
Team pages: Hang Yuen · Taipei City Tatung
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Hang Yuen1.41
Taipei City Tatung0.82
1X2
Hang Yuen
Draw
Taipei City Tatung
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hang Yuen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Taipei City Tatung
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hang Yuen
6–0
Taipei City Tatung
(6 last)
- Taipei City Tatung0-3Hang Yuen
- Taipei City Tatung0-1Hang Yuen
- Hang Yuen2-1Taipei City Tatung
- Hang Yuen1-0Taipei City Tatung
- Hang Yuen2-0Taipei City Tatung
- Hang Yuen2-1Taipei City Tatung
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hang Yuen 1561 · Taipei City Tatung 1468
| Hang Yuen | Draw | Taipei City Tatung | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hang Yuen (rating 1561 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Hang Yuen: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hang Yuen | Taipei City Tatung | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hang Yuen 6–0–0 Taipei City Tatung
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Taiwan Premier League | Taipei City Tatung | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Hang Yuen |
| 21/12/25 Taiwan Premier League | Taipei City Tatung | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hang Yuen |
| 28/09/25 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
| 20/10/24 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
| 25/08/24 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
| 28/04/24 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Taipei City Tatung |
Standings · Taiwan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaohsiung Attackers FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Taiwan Power Company | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Taipei City Tatung | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Hang Yuen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tainan City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | AC Taipei | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | Taichung Futuro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 | Taichung Rock FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hang Yuen | Taipei City Tatung |
|---|---|---|
| Tainan City | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| AC Taipei | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Taiwan Power Company | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Taichung Futuro | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Ming Chuan University | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Taichung Rock FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hang Yuen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Taipei City Tatung
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/03 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hang Yuen vs Taipei City Tatung?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hang Yuen win (50%). Probabilities: Hang Yuen 50%, draw 28%, Taipei City Tatung 22%.
How many goals are expected in Hang Yuen vs Taipei City Tatung?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Hang Yuen 1.41 · Taipei City Tatung 0.82), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hang Yuen vs Taipei City Tatung?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.