Football · Taiwan Premier League · 13/09, 10:00
Prediction: Hang Yuen vs Tainan City
Team pages: Hang Yuen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Hang Yuen1.07
Tainan City1.38
1X2
Hang Yuen
Draw
Tainan City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hang Yuen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Tainan City
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hang Yuen
1–2–3
Tainan City
(6 last)
- Tainan City1-0Hang Yuen
- Hang Yuen0-0Tainan City
- Hang Yuen1-2Tainan City
- Tainan City1-2Hang Yuen
- Hang Yuen1-1Tainan City
- Tainan City4-2Hang Yuen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hang Yuen 1535 · Tainan City 1584
| Hang Yuen | Draw | Tainan City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tainan City (rating 1535 vs 1584).
- H2H favours Tainan City: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hang Yuen | Tainan City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 3.8 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hang Yuen 1–2–3 Tainan City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Taiwan Premier League | Tainan City | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hang Yuen |
| 17/05/26 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tainan City |
| 01/03/26 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Tainan City |
| 01/12/24 Taiwan Premier League | Tainan City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hang Yuen |
| 30/06/24 Taiwan Premier League | Hang Yuen | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tainan City |
| 19/05/24 Taiwan Premier League | Tainan City | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Hang Yuen |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hang Yuen | Tainan City |
|---|---|---|
| AC Taipei | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Taipei City Tatung | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Taiwan Power Company | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Taichung Futuro | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Ming Chuan University | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Taichung Rock FC | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hang Yuen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/03 | Tainan City Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Tainan City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League |
3-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hang Yuen vs Tainan City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tainan City win (44%). Probabilities: Hang Yuen 29%, draw 27%, Tainan City 44%.
How many goals are expected in Hang Yuen vs Tainan City?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Hang Yuen 1.07 · Tainan City 1.38), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hang Yuen vs Tainan City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.