Football · Taiwan Premier League · 13/09, 13:00

Prediction: Taichung Futuro vs Taipei City Tatung

Team pages: Taichung Futuro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Taichung Futuro1.58

Taipei City Tatung1.12

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Taichung Futuro Draw Taipei City Tatung

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Taichung Futuro 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Taipei City Tatung 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Taichung Futuro 4–2–0 Taipei City Tatung (6 last)

Taipei City Tatung0-1Taichung Futuro
Taipei City Tatung1-2Taichung Futuro
Taichung Futuro5-0Taipei City Tatung
Taipei City Tatung0-0Taichung Futuro
Taipei City Tatung1-2Taichung Futuro
Taichung Futuro1-1Taipei City Tatung

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taichung Futuro 1532 · Taipei City Tatung 1448

	Taichung Futuro	Draw	Taipei City Tatung
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	48%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taichung Futuro (rating 1532 vs 1448).
H2H favours Taichung Futuro: 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taichung Futuro	Taipei City Tatung
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 4.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:45 +36’	1.90	3.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +159’	1.78	3.36	4.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taichung Futuro 4–2–0 Taipei City Tatung

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	0-1 HT 0-0	Taichung Futuro
01/03/26 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	1-2 HT 1-0	Taichung Futuro
26/10/25 Taiwan Premier League	Taichung Futuro	5-0 HT 4-0	Taipei City Tatung
24/10/24 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	0-0 HT 0-0	Taichung Futuro
01/09/24 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	1-2 HT 0-2	Taichung Futuro
11/08/24 Taiwan Premier League	Taichung Futuro	1-1 HT 1-1	Taipei City Tatung

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taichung Futuro	Taipei City Tatung
Tainan City	1-2 L	0-1 L
Taiwan Power Company	2-1 W	1-1 D
Ming Chuan University	4-0 W	4-1 W
Hang Yuen	1-0 W	0-3 L
Taichung Rock FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
AC Taipei	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Taichung Futuro (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taichung Futuro

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
17/05	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
10/05	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
03/05	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
26/04	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
19/04	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
12/04	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
15/03	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
08/03	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	2-2	3-2	2	3	W
01/03	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-1	2-1	8	2	W

Taipei City Tatung

LWDWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
10/05	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
03/05	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
26/04	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/04	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/04	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	3-1	4-1	6	5	W
15/03	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/03	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/03	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taichung Futuro vs Taipei City Tatung?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taichung Futuro win (47%). Probabilities: Taichung Futuro 47%, draw 27%, Taipei City Tatung 26%.

How many goals are expected in Taichung Futuro vs Taipei City Tatung?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Taichung Futuro 1.58 · Taipei City Tatung 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Taichung Futuro vs Taipei City Tatung?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.