Football · Mongolia Premier League · 17/09, 10:00

Prediction: Central Stallions vs Hunters FC

Team pages: Central Stallions · Hunters FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Central Stallions2.38

Hunters FC1.74

1X2

52% 20% 28%

Central Stallions Draw Hunters FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Central Stallions 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLDWLW

Hunters FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Central Stallions 4–1–1 Hunters FC (6 last)

Central Stallions1-3Hunters FC
Hunters FC1-3Central Stallions
Hunters FC1-2Central Stallions
Central Stallions2-0Hunters FC
Central Stallions6-0Hunters FC
Hunters FC2-2Central Stallions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Stallions 1522 · Hunters FC 1569

	Central Stallions	Draw	Hunters FC
Our model	52%	21%	28%
Market	52%	20%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hunters FC (rating 1522 vs 1569).
H2H favours Central Stallions: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Stallions	Hunters FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	4.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:15 +4’	1.73	4.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Stallions 4–1–1 Hunters FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Mongolia Premier League	Central Stallions	1-3 HT 0-1	Hunters FC
26/10/25 Mongolia Premier League	Hunters FC	1-3 HT 0-0	Central Stallions
15/07/25 Mongolia Premier League	Hunters FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Central Stallions
06/06/25 Mongolia Premier League	Central Stallions	2-0 HT 0-0	Hunters FC
26/10/22 Mongolia Cup	Central Stallions	6-0 HT 3-0	Hunters FC
08/10/21 Mongolia First League	Hunters FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Central Stallions

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Stallions	Hunters FC
Khangarid Klub	1-0 W	0-2 L
Deren FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
FC Ulaanbaatar	3-2 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Central Stallions (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Stallions

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/07	Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
03/07	Deren FC Mongolia Premier League	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
30/06	FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League	3-0	3-2	2	3	W
27/06	Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
24/06	Deren FC Mongolia Premier League	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
21/06	FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
17/06	FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
14/06	Deren FC Mongolia Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
24/05	Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
21/05	Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	7	D

Hunters FC

LWDLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League	4-0	11-1	3	1	W
28/06	Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League	1-0	2-0	12	4	W
25/06	Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League	1-0	6-1	5	2	W
22/06	Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League	3-0	9-0	3	1	W
13/06	Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League	2-0	10-1	6	3	W
24/05	Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/05	FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League	0-1	1-4	2	2	L
17/05	Deren FC Mongolia Premier League	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
10/05	Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League	4-2	5-2	3	0	W
07/05	Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Stallions vs Hunters FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Stallions win (52%). Probabilities: Central Stallions 52%, draw 20%, Hunters FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Central Stallions vs Hunters FC?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Central Stallions 2.38 · Hunters FC 1.74), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Stallions vs Hunters FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.