Prediction: Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC
Team pages: Khovd Western · Ulaangom City FC
- Khovd Western2-3Ulaangom City FC
- Ulaangom City FC0-0Khovd Western
- Khovd Western6-0Ulaangom City FC
| Khovd Western | Draw | Ulaangom City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 20% | 28% |
| Market | 53% | 19% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khovd Western (rating 1506 vs 1458).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Khovd Western | Ulaangom City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 2.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.6 | 5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Khovd Western 1–1–1 Ulaangom City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd Western | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Ulaangom City FC |
| 13/06/26 Mongolia Premier League | Ulaangom City FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Khovd Western |
| 29/10/25 Mongolia Premier League | Khovd Western | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Ulaangom City FC |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Khovd Western | Ulaangom City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Khovd FC | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Khoromkhon Club | 3-1 W | 4-2 W |
| Hunters FC | 0-2 L | 1-11 L |
| Central Stallions | 1-1 D | 0-10 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Khovd Western (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khovd Western
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/06 | Khangarid Klub Mongolia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Ulaangom City FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 23/05 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
Ulaangom City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hunters FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-11 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 28/06 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/06 | Khoromkhon Club Mongolia Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Khovd Western Mongolia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | D |
| 21/05 | Khovd FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Central Stallions Mongolia Premier League |
0-6 | 0-10 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Ulaanbaatar Mongolia Premier League |
1-6 | 1-7 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Deren FC Mongolia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Khovd Western win (53%). Probabilities: Khovd Western 53%, draw 19%, Ulaangom City FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC?
The model expects 4.54 goals (Khovd Western 2.62 · Ulaangom City FC 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.