Football · Argentina Championship Women · 19/09, 20:30
Prediction: Lanus (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)
Team pages: Lanus (W) · Union Santa Fe (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Lanus (W)1.51
Union Santa Fe (W)0.86
1X2
Lanus (W)
Draw
Union Santa Fe (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lanus (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Union Santa Fe (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lanus (W)
1–0
Union Santa Fe (W)
(1 last)
- Union Santa Fe (W)0-1Lanus (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanus (W) 1525 · Union Santa Fe (W) 1427
| Lanus (W) | Draw | Union Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanus (W) (rating 1525 vs 1427).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lanus (W) | Union Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus (W) 1–0–0 Union Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Championship Women | Union Santa Fe (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lanus (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | San Luis FC (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Belgrano (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Lanus (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Racing Club (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lanus (W) | Union Santa Fe (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Independiente Women | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Huracan (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Banfield (W) | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanus (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 08/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Union Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 07/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanus (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lanus (W) win (52%). Probabilities: Lanus (W) 52%, draw 27%, Union Santa Fe (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in Lanus (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Lanus (W) 1.51 · Union Santa Fe (W) 0.86), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lanus (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.