Football · Argentina Championship Women · 18/09, 16:00
Prediction: Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)
Team pages: Newell's Old Boys (W) · Gimnasia LP (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Newell's Old Boys (W)1.07
Gimnasia LP (W)1.21
1X2
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Draw
Gimnasia LP (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia LP (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1–3
Gimnasia LP (W)
(4 last)
- Gimnasia LP (W)2-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)0-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Gimnasia LP (W)4-3Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1Gimnasia LP (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1407 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1427
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Draw | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP (W): 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/44/56% | 0/56/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 1.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1–0–3 Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 14/02/25 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 03/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | Gimnasia LP (W) | 4-3 HT 2-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 16/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Belgrano (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Banfield (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Lanus (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 9 | Racing Club (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
| 16 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newell's Old Boys (W) | Gimnasia LP (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Club (W) | 1-4 L | 0-4 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Lanus (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| CA Independiente Women | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 8 L | 1 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (W) (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Gimnasia LP (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/09 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia LP (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Newell's Old Boys (W) 32%, draw 30%, Gimnasia LP (W) 39%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Newell's Old Boys (W) 1.07 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.